Japan Metals Report Q4 2011

  • ID: 1946510
  • October 2011
  • Region: Japan
  • 67 Pages
  • Business Monitor International
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  • Nippon Steel Corporation
  • Sumitomo Metal Industries
  • MORE

The earthquake in Japan in March 2011 will have a significant bearing on the country's metals industry for years to come. In the short term, the disruption halted production at several copper and aluminium refineries. It is also set to hurt demand as the economy has now slipped back into recession. However, BMI expect demand and supply of metals to pick up as reconstruction efforts begin. Steel and aluminium are the two sectors most likely to benefit as much of Japan's infrastructure around the epicentre of the earthquake has been damaged. Over the long term, BMI expect production and consumption trends to fall back to low single figures, in line with growth forecasts for the Japanese economy as a whole. Japan remains one of the largest producers and consumers of these metals, but faces a declining share of world output and demand as China and, to a lesser extent, India, rapidly increase production and consumption in most metals.

BMI expect steel production to rebound on the back of increased demand as construction efforts get underway. However, producer margins are likely to remain tight as iron ore and coal prices continue to rise, only some of which can be passed onto the READ MORE >

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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  • Nippon Steel Corporation
  • Sumitomo Metal Industries
  • MORE

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Japan Political SWOT
Japan Economic SWOT
Japan Business Environment SWOT

Global Market Overview
Steel To Average US$620/tonne In 2012

BMI Steel Forecast
Steel Price Data
Commodities Forecast
Monthly Metals Update
Regional Overview
Table: Top 10 Asian Steel Producers, 2009

Forecast Scenario
Nickel: Japan To Become A Net Exporter in 2013
Expansion Plans
Production & Consumption Forecasts
Copper: Output to Pick Up From 2012
Refined Copper Production
Refined Copper Consumption
Aluminium: Production Relatively Unaffected By Earthquake
Primary & Secondary Production
Refined Aluminium Production

Macroeconomic Forecast
Japan – Economic Activity
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top Japanese Steel Producers, Worldwide Capacity, 2008

Sector Overview
Production and Domestic Sales
Japan Iron and Steel Production ('000 metric tonnes)
Steel Product Output, Jan-Jul 2010
Japan Crude Steel Production ('000 tonnes) -- By Process
Japan Steel Production ('000 tonnes) -- By Category
Japan Steel Production ('000 tonnes)
Japan: Steel Production By Products ('000 tonnes)
Table: Japan Exports, Jan-Jul 2010
Foreign Ventures
Latest Developments
Financial Results
Table: Output At Sumitomo Steel Works In Japan, 2007 ('000 tonnes)
Table: Crude Steel Production At NSC Steel Works In Japan, 2008 ('000 tonnes)
Table: Crude Steel Production Capacity At JFE Steel Works In Japan ('000 tonnes)
Table: Japan Production Of Aluminium And Fabricated Products, Q208-Q409 ('000 tonnes)
Table: Production of Aluminium and its Fabricated Products 2009 ('000 tonnes)
Table: Aluminium Imports and Exports, 2009 ('000 tonnes)
Table: Japan Demand of Aluminium End-Uses, 2009 ('000 tonnes)

Company Profile
Nippon Steel Corporation
Sumitomo Metal Industries
Global Assumptions, Q4 2011
Table: Global Assumptions, 2009-2015
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y)
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2010-2013 (average)
Table: Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2010-2013 (average)
Developed States
Table: Developed States’ Real GDP Growth, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y)
Emerging Markets
Table: Emerging Markets’ Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y)

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Petrochemicals Industry
Cross Checks

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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- Nippon Steel Corporation
- Sumitomo Metal Industries

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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