AESAs into Airborne Platforms
Engalco, April 2011
In spite of and in several instances because of the cutbacks in defense expenditure the avionics side of the industry is surviving almost unscathed and most parts of this segment exhibit growing markets. EW systems and radars will always be vitally important and, as well as new implementations, system upgrades are increasingly being installed on existing platforms.
In order to reflect in detail the important changes during the past two years Engalco has pursued substantial research on airborne AESAs (active electronically-scanned arrays) – the industry, technologies and markets – and has recently released its report on this subject: Airborne AESAs. This highly detailed report provides extensive data on shipments and market values for the systems and the T/R-modules (‘TRMs') including forecasts to 2017.
Major new aspects considered in detail reflect the significant impacts of the recent, typically harsh, national defense reviews and associated adverse economic environments – notably in the U.S.A. and the U.K. (also affecting France). The implications of these reviews will result in decreased annual deployments of many platforms, ranging from the F-35 fighter to aircraft carriers, but set against this scenario AESAs such as Raytheon's RACR and Northrop Grumman's SABR will be increasingly important for upgrading existing aircraft fleets.
In addition to the F-35, the EA-18G (Growler), the Eurofighter Typhoon, France's Rafale – and UVs (UAVs and UCAVs) are all important. A further very significant program is the LEMV surveillance airship. In June 2010 Northrop Grumman was awarded the contract to develop this system and more recently this prime contractor has announced it is teaming with Hybrid Air Vehicles, Ltd. of England and a team of technology leaders from 18 US states and three countries to build the LEMV. The prototype LEMV will have about 100,000 TRMs whilst the final version will implement more than seven million TRMs.
In this important AESAs update report Engalco also provides details of Israel's CAEW system, status of the F-35 “Lightning II”, systems going onto the EA-18G “Growler” and the on-going upgrades of existing platforms including F-15s and 16s. It is clear that North American markets always lead this industry sector.
Airborne AESAs (whether considered with or without the LEMV) always dominate all the “free-world” markets – typically by a factor of at least three. Shipments of airborne AESAs rise to a maximum of over 1,000 in year 2014, before settling to values just below 1,000 thereafter. Whilst total market values for AESA radar systems typically amount to some tens of billions of US dollars this report focuses more strongly on the TRMs. The total market for airborne TRMs – omitting LEMV – remains in the high hundreds of millions of US$ range. Unit prices are analyzed, forecasted and presented for TRMs covering various frequency bands. The impact of the coming strong effect of GaN MMIC implementation into TRMs is reflected in all market analyses.
Front page and Introductory Part
Executive Summary
ES.1 Introduction
ES.2 AESAs Currently in Production or Advanced Development
ES.3 AESA Shipments and TMVs
ES.4 TRM Shipments and TAMs
Section 1 Airborne AESAs Currently in Production
1.1 Introduction – Some Methodological Aspects
1.2 AESA-based Systems for Airborne Applications
Section 2 Current and On-coming Technologies
2.1 Current (Mainstream) AESA Technology
2.2 Transmit/Receive Modules (TRMs)
2.2.1 Detailed Descriptions Concerning TRMs
2.2.2 MMIC Chip Count Reduction
2.2.3 TRM Packages – Including OEM Supplier Analysis
Section 3 Shipments, Prices and Monetary Values Forecasts
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Product Categories, Application Segments & Frequency Bands
3.3 Geographic Regions
3.4 Definitions, Organization of the Data, Methodology and Forecasts
3.5 Methodological Sequence for Generating and Processing Data
3.6 Presentation of Data and Critique Commentaries
3.6.1 AESA Data
3.6.1.1 Overall Worldwide AESA Data
3.6.2 TRM Data
3.6.2.1 TRM Unit Prices (ASPs)
3.6.2.2 Overall Worldwide TRM Data
3.7 Tables of Data
Section 4 Supply Chains – Semiconductors – TRMs – AESA Systems
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Specific Examples of OEMs and their Supply Scenarios
4.3 The Role of Distributors
4.3.1 France
4.3.2 Germany
4.3.3 Italy
4.3.4 The Netherlands
4.3.5 Sweden
4.3.6 The UK
4.3.7 The USA
4.4 Summary of Typical Supply Chains
4.5 A Selection of TRM and MMIC OEMs/Foundries
Directory of Main AESA Players and Prime Contractors
Appendix: Glossary of Acronyms
List of Figures
Figure ES.1 Worldwide Shipments of AESAs - Grand Totals
Figure ES.2 Worldwide TMVs for AESAs - Grand Totals (US$M)
Figure ES.3 Worldwide Shipments of TRMs
Figure ES.4 Worldwide TAMs for TRMs - Grand Totals (US$M)
Figure 2.1 Block Schematic AESA Outline
Figure 2.2 Basic Topology of an AESA TRM
Figure 3.1 Total Market, Captive Market and TAM
Figure 3.2 Total Airborne AESA Shipments Worldwide
Figure 3.3 Global TMVs for Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Figure 3.4 Total Airborne AESA Shipments Europe
Figure 3.5 European TMVs for Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Figure 3.6 Total Airborne AESA Shipments N. America
Figure 3.7 North America TMVs for Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Figure 3.8 Ka-band TRM Unit Price (US$)
Figure 3.9 X-band TRM Unit Price (US$)
Figure 3.10 C-band TRM Unit Price (US$)
Figure 3.11 L and S-band TRM Unit Price (US$)
Figure 3.12 Worldwide Shipments of Airborne TRMs
Figure 3.13 Worldwide TAMs for TRMs into Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Figure 3.14 Europe Shipments of Airborne TRMs
Figure 3.15 Europe TAMs for TRMs into Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Figure 3.16 N. America Shipments of Airborne TRMs (1,000s)
Figure 3.17 N. America TAMs for TRMs into Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Figure 4.1 Example of an AESA TRM
Figure 4.2 Typical Overall Supply Chain Applicable to Many AESA Systems OEMs
Figure 4.3 Basic Industry Supply Chain from Materials & Basic Components
through to TRM Assembly
List of Tables
Table ES-1 Summary of Airborne AESA Systems (N.B. most are X-band)
Table 1-1 Summary of Airborne AESA Systems (N.B. most operate in the X-band)
Table 2-1 OEM Companies and Research Organizations Involved in TRMs for AESAs
Table 2-2 A Selection of Key 2009 Features Associated with each Main AESA OEM
Table 2-3 The Ten Main AESA OEMs Revisited – 2010 Performance and Comments
Table 2-4 Further Aspects Associated with each Main AESA OEMs including
the Various Extents of Vertical Integration
Table 3-1 A Selection of AESA Total Unit Costs and Trends 2010 to 2017
Table 3-2 Total Airborne AESA Shipments Worldwide
Table 3-3 Worldwide TMVs for Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Table 3-4 Total Airborne AESA Shipments Europe
Table 3-5 Europe TMVs for Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Table 3-6 Total Airborne AESA Shipments N. America
Table 3-7 N. America TMVs for Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Table 3-8 Worldwide Shipments of Airborne TRMs (1,000s)
Table 3-9 Worldwide TAMs for TRMs into Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Table 3-10 Europe Shipments of Airborne TRMs (1,000s)
Table 3-11 Europe TAMs for TRMs into Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Table 3-12 N. America Shipments of Airborne TRMs (1,000s)
Table 3-13 N. America TAMs for TRMs into Airborne AESAs (US$M)
Table 4-1 Selected TRM and MMIC OEMs
- BAE Systems
- CEA Technologies Pty Limited
- CEA Technologies, Inc.
- EADS Defence Electronics
- Galileo Avionica SpA
- INDRA
- L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc
- Northrop Grumman Corporation
- Raytheon Company
- Saab Microwave Systems AB
- Selex Sistemi Integrati
- Selex Galileo Ltd
- Thales
- Thales UK
- TNO Physics and Electronics Laboratory
- BAE Systems
- Boeing World Headquarters
- Boeing Integrated Defense Systems
- European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company ( EADS )
- Lockheed Martin
- Saab Group
- Saab AB
- Northrop Grumman Space Technology
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