MIMO for Mobile Communications - Is this Handset in your Future?

Mobile Experts, June 2011, Pages: 55

This report gives a five-year forecast for adoption of SISO, SIMO, 2x2, 4x2, and 4x4 MIMO, as well as presenting alternatives such as MU-MIMO and CoMP.

The report includes:

A broad overview of the market drivers and technical trends;

Technical analysis and block diagrams for devices and infrastructure;

Insightful analysis of:

Infrastructure in the macro layer, including macrocells, microcells and picocells;

Femtocell adoption of MIMO antenna techniques;

Expected architectures for DAS, repeaters, and relays;

Device migration from Tx and Rx diversity to higher order MIMO

Cost vs. Benefit analysis of MIMO in:

Handsets and other devices;

Base stations using Remote Radio Heads (RRH)

Forecast spreadsheets predict market size/ segments to 2016:

By device type (PC embedded modems, tablets, smartphones, feature phones);

By infrastructure type (Macrocell, microcell, picocell, femtocell, DAS, repeater, relay);

By uplink vs. downlink;

By MIMO type (SISO, SIMO, 2x2, 4x2, 4x4, etc.);

Predictions of alternatives to MIMO are present

Products Mentioned:

Antennas, handsets, tablets, PCs, base stations, RRH, transceivers and radio heads

1: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2: MIMO MARKET DRIVERS
Market Drivers
Spectral Efficiency Moving to Spatial Efficiency
Asymmetric Data Demand
Throughput Benefit for 2x2, 3x3, 4x4
Cost Impact of 2x2, 4x2, 4x4
Battery Impact in terminals
Multi-user MIMO
Closed-Loop and Open-Loop MIMO
MIMO and Antenna Arrays
Cooperative Multi-point (CoMP)

3: DOWNLINK ADOPTION--INFRASTRUCTURE
Downlink Architecture
SISO and SIMO
Downlink Transmit Diversity
Downlink 2x2 MIMO adoption
Downlink 4 x n MIMO adoption

4: DOWNLINK ADOPTION--TERMINALS
Downlink Architecture
SISO Terminals
SIMO (Receive Diversity) Terminals
Downlink n x 2 MIMO adoption
Downlink n x 4 MIMO adoption

5: UPLINK ADOPTION--INFRASTRUCTURE
Uplink Architecture
Uplink SISO base stations
Uplink SIMO (Receiver diversity) adoption
Uplink 2x2 MIMO adoption
Cooperative Multipoint (CoMP) adoption

6: UPLINK ADOPTION--TERMINALS
Uplink Architecture
Uplink SIMO shipments
Uplink 2x2 and 2x4 MIMO adoption

7: INFRASTRUCTURE OUTLOOK
Downlink
Uplink

8: DEVICE OUTLOOK (HANDSETS, TABLETS, PCS, M2M)
Downlink
Uplink
Smartphones
Tablets
Personal Computers
Machine-to-Machine (M2M)

9: COMPANIES PROFILED
Antenova
Commscope (Andrew)
EMW Antenna
Ericsson
Ethertronics
Fractal Antenna
Galtronics
Huawei
Icera (NVIDIA)
Kathrein
Laird Technologies
Molex
Novatel Wireless
Powerwave Technologies
Pulse
Radio Frequency Systems
Sierra Wireless
Skycross
Telstra
Tyco Electronics
Vodafone

10: ACRONYMS

11: METHODOLOGY AND TERMINOLOGY

CHARTS
Chart 1: MIMO adoption trends for uplink and downlink
Chart 2: Growth of Mobile Data Traffic
Chart 3: Downlink vs Uplink symmetry in mobile data (2010 to 2016)
Chart 4: Relative benefit of MIMO
Chart 5: Infrastructure Cost impact vs Throughput Benefit of MIMO
Chart 6: SISO and SIMO transceiver shipments, 2010 to 2016
Chart 7: Downlink Transmit Diversity Adoption
Chart 8: Downlink 2x2 MIMO adoption
Chart 9: Downlink 4 x n MIMO adoption
Chart 10: SISO Terminals, 2010 to 2016
Chart 11: SIMO Terminals, 2010 to 2016
Chart 12: Downlink n x 2 MIMO adoption
Chart 13: Downlink n x 4 MIMO adoption
Chart 14: Uplink SISO transceivers
Chart 15: Uplink SIMO transceivers, 2010 to 2016
Chart 16: Uplink 2x2 MIMO adoption
Chart 17: Uplink CoMP adoption
Chart 18: Uplink SIMO terminals, 2010 to 2016
Chart 19: Uplink 2 x n MIMO adoption
Chart 20: Downlink MIMO technology trends for infrastructure
Chart 21: Uplink MIMO technology trends for infrastructure
Chart 22: Downlink MIMO technology trends for devices, overall
Chart 23: Uplink MIMO technology trends for devices, overall
Chart 24: Smartphone downlink adoption, by MIMO type
Chart 25: Smartphone uplink adoption, by MIMO type
Chart 26: Tablet downlink adoption, by MIMO type
Chart 27: Tablet uplink adoption, by MIMO type
Chart 28: PC downlink adoption, by MIMO type
Chart 29: PC uplink adoption, by MIMO type
Chart 30: M2M downlink adoption, by MIMO type

EXHIBITS
Exhibit 1: Innovation Shifting from Spectral Efficiency to Spatial Efficiency
Exhibit 2: Throughput Improvement from Cooperative MIMO
Exhibit 3: Downlink architecture in 2012 base station shipments
Exhibit 4: Downlink architecture in 2012 terminal shipments
Exhibit 5: Uplink architecture in 2012 base station shipments
Exhibit 6: Uplink architecture in 2012 terminal shipments
Exhibit 7: Detailed definitions of infrastructure product categories

Mobile MIMO Development Will Not Follow the 3GPP Prophecy

Uplink and Downlink to follow two different technology directions
A new report released today by Mobile Experts predicts an industry shift away from the 3GPP roadmap, which calls for evolution to 8x8 MIMO (Multiple Input-Multiple Output) technology.

"Field testing has shown limited benefit from the simple addition of more antennas and early implementation of Multi-User MIMO," said Joe Madden, Principal Analyst at Mobile Experts. "Instead of blindly following the 3GPP evolution path, mobile operators are looking for different, creative ways to boost throughput and capacity. Interference cancellation and Cooperative Multipoint (CoMP), as well as advanced MU-MIMO, will be important technologies during the next few years."

"Mobile Experts is the only analyst firm that focuses on the radio chain for both infrastructure and device markets. In the case of MIMO, it is critical to examine concerns of suppliers of a huge variety of equipment, ranging from base stations and femtocells to smartphones, tablets, and PC modems. In particular, the concerns of device suppliers regarding size, battery life, and cost are critical in the technology choices for the 2014-2016 timeframe."

The new report, MIMO Adoption in Mobile Communications provides:
- A broad overview of the market drivers which are pushing mobile operators toward new architectures;
- Technical analysis and block diagrams for devices and infrastructure;
- Insightful analysis of:
- Infrastructure in the macro layer, including macrocells, microcells and picocells;
- Femtocell adoption of MIMO antenna techniques;
- Expected architectures for DAS, repeaters, and relays;
- Device migration from Tx and Rx diversity to higher order MIMO
- Cost vs. Benefit analysis of MIMO in:
- Handsets and other devices;
- Base stations using Remote Radio Heads (RRH)
- Forecast spreadsheets predict market size and segmentation through 2016:
- By device type (PC embedded modems, tablets, smartphones, feature phones);
- By infrastructure type (Macrocell, microcell, picocell, femtocell, DAS, repeater, relay);
- By uplink vs. downlink;
- By MIMO type (SISO, SIMO, 2x2, 4x2, 4x4, etc.);
- Predictions of alternatives to MIMO are presented.

- Antenova
- Commscope (Andrew)
- EMW Antenna
- Ericsson
- Ethertronics
- Fractal Antenna
- Galtronics
- Huawei
- Icera (NVIDIA)
- Kathrein
- Laird Technologies
- Molex
- Novatel Wireless
- Powerwave Technologies
- Pulse
- Radio Frequency Systems
- Sierra Wireless
- Skycross
- Telstra
- Tyco Electronics
- Vodafone

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