Slovakia Defence and Security Report 2012
Business Monitor International, November 2011, Pages: 109
Business Monitor International's Slovakia Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Slovakia's defence and security industry.
In terms of Slovakia's defence industry, the picture has remained largely unchanged despite an unexpected though very temporary spike in defence spending in 2011. The lack of defence spending has been harshly criticised by the Slovakian minister of defence. Minister Lubomir Galko warned that the Slovakian army is beginning to break down under the strain of Afghan deployment and minimal defence spending. The right-wing Slovakian government which governed prior to 2006 had adopted the Model 2015 plan, aiming for 1.85% of GDP being spent on defence by 2015, but even this modest target was abandoned under the Fico government.
Currently 86% of all defence spending is on personnel, with only 14% being spent on modernisation – a ratio which is set to hit 90:10 unless extra cash is invested. Furthermore, Galko warned that over 70% of all the equipment currently in use with the military has exceeded its planned operating life. Galko estimates that just to maintain the Slovakian armed forces as they are, 1.56% of GDP would have to be dedicated to defence. Currently, the figure is 1.49% and BMI predicts that this is set to drop to 1.36% by 2016.
The standing of Slovakia within the European Union has been hit by the country's perceived intransigence over the eurozone debt crisis. Slovakia has been outspoken in its opposition to the ever greater sums which are being required for protect Greece from default. Prime Minister Iveta Radicova said that the ‘haircut' being suggested for holders of Greek debt is nowhere near large enough, calling for over half of the Greek debt pile to be forgiven. The Slovakian opposition has added to the country's reputation in European circles as an unreliable partner, but has also fed into broader discontent around the EU at the prospect of spending over a trillion euros to protect the euro.
Slovakia came under immense pressure from EU leaders and Commission figures to approve the proposed bail out, causing the Prime Minister to take desperate steps to pass the package. Prime Minister Iveta Radicova's government collapsed in October 2011, after she tried to pass the bailout through the Slovakian parliament after its initial rejection by making the issue a vote of confidence – which then failed, leading to the scheduling of elections for March. A third vote succeeded after the backing of the previously abstaining left opposition was secured.
With regards to overseas commitments, Slovakia has said that it has no plans to withdraw its Afghan contingent before 2014. The Defence Ministry said that Slovakia would maintain its ISAF presence until the overall mission was completed, with a timetable set for a handover to local forces in 2014. There are currently 346 Slovak troops in Afghanistan, with the country playing a security role as well as training Afghan soldiers, though 20 more troops are about to head to the country. The 20 special forces members will operate alongside ISAF special forces and marks the first time that Slovakian special forces have been deployed to Afghanistan since the beginning of the NATO presence in that country.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Slovakia Security SWOT
Slovakia Defence Industry SWOT
Political SWOT
Economic SWOT
Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
Eurozone At Centre-Stage, MENA Still A Major Risk
Global Hotspots: Eurozone, MENA, Afghanistan And Korea
Table: Election Timetable, Q4 2011-Q4 2012
United States: Stalemate To Persist, Heading Into Election Season
Latin America: Much More Uncertainty To Come
Western Europe: Incumbent Leaders Under Pressure
Central, Eastern And South-Eastern Europe
Russia And The Former Soviet Union: The ‘Return' Of Putin
Middle East And North Africa: Can Democracy Take Root?
Sub-Saharan Africa: Testing Times
Asia: All Eyes On China's Moves
Wild Cards To Watch
Europe Security Overview
Political Risk Analysis - The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
Europe In A Global Context
Europe's Key Security Issues Over The Coming Decade
Security Risk Analysis
BMI's Security Ratings
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Slovakia's Security Risk Rating
City Terrorism Ratings
Table: BMI's Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Political Overview
Regional Outlook
Regional Political Outlook
Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
Corruption
Hungarian Slovaks
Latest Developments
External Security Situation
Transnational Crime
The Balkans
Hungary
Russia
Central European Region
Latest Developments
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (Including conscripted, ‘000)
Defence Reform
Military Capabilities
International Deployments
Table: Slovakia's Foreign Deployments
Co-ordination And Joint Operations
Market Overview
Imports
Exports
Industry Trends And Developments
Table: Slovakia's Defence Key Players
Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Slovakia's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 (‘000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Slovakia's Man Power Available For Military Service (aged 16-49), 2009-2016
Government Expenditure On Defence Industry
Table: Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016
Table: Expenditure Scenario: Changing % Of GDP, 2009-2016
Economic Outlook
Table: Slovakia - Economic Activity, 2007-2015
Company Profiles
Local Companies
Konstrukta Defence
ZVS Holding
ZTS Špeciál
Foreign Companies
BAE Systems
Diehl
Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
City Terrorism Rating
Table: Methodology
Sources
- BAE Systems
- Diehl
- Foreign Companies
- Konstrukta Defence
- ZVS Holding
- ZTS Špeciál
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