Japan Commercial Banking Report Q4 2011
Business Monitor International, October 2011, Pages: 69
Business Monitor International's Japan Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Japan's commercial banking industry.
Since Q108, BMI has described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed. BMI do this through its Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures capture of the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of BMI's insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that takes into account the risks these elements are weighted 40% and 60% respectively.
Further details on how BMI calculates the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the ‘Limits of potential returns’ are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it and the Moody’s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
Table: Levels (JPYbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At August 2011
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2011-2015 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
Table: Projected Levels (JPYbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
Japan Commercial Banking SWOT
Japan Political SWOT
Japan Economic SWOT
Japan Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Asia Banking Sector Outlook
Table: Banks’ Bond Portfolios
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2011f
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits, 2009-2010 (US$bn)
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, 2010 (US$)
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields, 2010-2011
Japan Banking Sector Outlook
Economic Outlook
Table: Japan Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Japan’s Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Full Japanese Bankers’ Association Members
Table: Associate Japanese Bankers’ Association Members
Company Profiles
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Mizuho Bank
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Mizuho Corporate Bank
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Resona
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation
Aozora Bank
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ
- Mizuho Bank
- Mizuho Corporate Bank
- Resona
- Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation
- Aozora Bank
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