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Retail Futures H2 2011: Health & Beauty
Datamonitor, Oct 2011, Pages: 31
A unique forecasting tool providing dynamic forecasts and analysis of market demand and price pressures. A Sector Summary Report and seven UK sector and two UK channel forecasts are available (Clothing & Footwear, DIY & Gardening, Electricals, Furniture & Floorcoverings, Food & Grocery, Health & Beauty, Homewares, e-Retail, DIY Superstores).
Scope:
- Brief review of economic trends and how they impact retail, explaining how we believe key economic metrics will evolve over the next two years
- Forecasts of how overall retail and retail sectors will fare over the next ten quarters, examining volume, inflation and overall growth rates
- Category level forecasts are provided to fully inform growth strategies<
Highlights:
- Overall inflation for 2011 is forecast at 2.2% - the highest annual rate since 1996. Sectors worst impacted are clothing & footwear (4.7%) and food & grocery (3.2%)
- H1 2011 sees volumes fall back into negative territory. Home related sectors are worst affected as the housing market remains weak and sectors are hit by administrations. Inflation leads to weak food & grocery volumes – at their lowest level since Q1 2009
- Non-food sales growth to dip further in Q3 2011. While non-food sales were slightly less negative in Q2, sales will slip further in Q3 as increased concerns over the economy drive more cautious spending. While sales will recover slightly in Q4 in the run up to Christmas – they will remain in negative territory
Reasons to buy:
- Which retail sectors will perform the best through 2011–13? Which sectors should my business focus on?
- What impact will the economy have on retail and how should I build this into my sales forecasts?
- How will inflation effect growth in sales volumes? Will inflationary pressures continue into 2013?
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