Bulgaria Defence and Security Report Q1 2012

  • ID: 1963919
  • November 2011
  • Region: Bulgaria
  • 72 Pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Business Monitor International's Bulgaria Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Bulgaria's defence and security industry.

In October 2011 it does not appear that the security issues – or the overall situation of Bulgaria’s defence industry – have changed significantly from the previous quarter. The country faces no obvious threat from inter-state aggression and very limited threat from non-state terrorists. However, BMI’s Security Rating with respect to criminal risk is one of the lowest in Europe. In part because of its geographic location, with easy access to Eastern Europe and the Middle East and mainly because of low levels of governance, Bulgaria is a hub for organised crime and illegal trafficking of drugs, arms and people. This will not be affected by the outcome of the presidential election that is due to take place in October, or by the (likely slow) growth of the economy.

Recent developments in the defence industry include the government’s READ MORE >

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Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Bulgaria Security SWOT
Bulgaria Defence Industry SWOT
Bulgaria Political SWOT
Bulgaria Economic SWOT
Bulgaria Business Environment SWOT

Global Political Outlook
Global Hotspots: Eurozone, MENA, Afghanistan And Korea
Table: Election Timetable, 2012
United States
Latin America
Western Europe
Central, Eastern And South-Eastern Europe
Russia And The Former Soviet Union
Middle East And North Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
Wild Cards To Watch
Europe Security Overview

Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
Europe In A Global Context
Europe’s Key Security Issues Over The Coming Decade
Security Risk Analysis
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Bulgaria’s Security Risk Ratings
City Terrorism Rating
Table: BMI’s Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index

Political Overview
Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
Table: Regional Insurgent Groups
External Security Situation
Bilateral And Multilateral Security Relations
Armed Forces And Government Expenditure
International Deployments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction

Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Table: Key Players In Bulgaria’s Defence Sector, 2010
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Bulgaria’s Armed Forces, 2000-2008 (‘000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Bulgaria's Manpower Available For Military Services, 2008-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Government Expenditure
Table: Bulgaria's Defence Expenditure
Table: Bulgaria's Defence Expenditure – Changing % Of GDP (US$mn)
Defence Trade

Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Bulgaria – Macroeconomic Activity, 2008-2015
Company Profiles

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
City Terrorism Rating
Table: Methodology

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