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Pakistan Real Estate Report Q1 2012

Business Monitor International, November 2011, Pages: 49

Pakistan Real Estate Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, real estate associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Pakistan's Real Estate industry.

Despite having a vast and rapidly expanding population and noticeably improving infrastructure, demand for commercial real estate in Pakistan continues to decline, largely as a result of the country’s widespread political instability and history of corruption. However, a drop in interest rates in August 2011 may help in the long term. High interest rates and slowing economic growth have weighed heavily on the industry, and this change may precede the beginning of an increase in demand in the future.

Despite these setbacks inherent in the country, a number of prestigious new developments (such as the World Trade Center under construction in Islamabad) are hoped to contribute to a resurgence in real estate investment.

Key Opportunities In The Real Estate Market:

- Plenty of residential, mixed-use development projects are under way, including the eco-friendly Park Enclave complex in Islamabad, construction of which will be overseen by the Capital Development Authority (CDA). The trend for environmentally conscious development seems to stem not from consumer demand but from the fact that it opens access to land in zones that would not normally be available for development.
- Lahore Development Authority and Islamabad’s CDA are targeting and shutting down developments that are built or run illegally, in the hope of attracting legitimate projects in their place and improving transparency in both cities.
- The UAE and China are examining investments in Pakistan, which could increase its international profile in the long term.

Key Risks To The Real Estate Market:

- Rents and yields remain difficult to forecast, given the precarious security situation in the country.
- Turf war-related violence in Karachi is ongoing and could cause continued delays to new developments in the area, as highlighted by the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan’s factfinding mission to the city in July 2011.

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Pakistan Real Estate/Construction SWOT
Pakistan Economic SWOT
Pakistan Business Environment SWOT

Real Estate Market Overview

Real Estate Market Analysis
Table: Pakistan’s Real Estate Market – Historic Rents, 2010 And 2011 (per m2/month, PKR)
Table: Pakistan’s Real Estate Market – Net Yield, 2011 And 2012 (%)
Table: Pakistan’s Real Estate Market – Terms Of Contract/Lease, Mid-2011
Table: Pakistan’s Real Estate Market – Available And Vacant Space, Mid-2011

Industry Forecast Scenario
Real Estate Outlook
Table: Pakistan’s Real Estate Market – Rentals, 2011-2012 (a m2/month, PKR)
Table: Pakistan’s Real Estate Market – Forecast Yield, 2008-2015
Construction And Infrastructure Outlook
Table: Pakistan Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Outlook
Pakistan - Economic Activity

Business Environment
Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Ratings
Table: Real Estate Business Environment Ratings
Pakistan’s Business Environment
Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Ratings
Institutions
Table: BMI Legal Framework Rating
Infrastructure
Table: Labour Force Quality
Table: Asia, Annual Fdi Inflows
Market Orientation
Table: Trade And Investment Ratings
Table: Top Export Destinations
Operational Risk

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles
Bestway Cement
Ev-K2-CNR
Rufi Group

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Construction Industry
Bank Lending
Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Sources

- Bestway Cement
- Ev-K2-CNR
- Rufi Group

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