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Peru Telecommunications Report Q1 2012
The latest operator data available for our Peru Telecommunications Q112 report are from Q211 and show that the Peruvian telecoms market continues to expand rapidly. Mobile subscriber numbers grew strongly following a slowdown in Q111, with 820,000 net additions recorded, representing 3.4% q-o-q growth. While the Peruvian mobile market continues to grow quickly, ARPUs are starting to fall. Sprint suffered the largest drop in ARPUs in Q112, the result of launching prepaid services, which do not generate the same revenues as its traditional postpaid corporate offerings. However, the company looks set to expand its customer base quickly through these offerings, and provide a challenge to the dominance of América Móvil and Telefónica, which operate under the Claro and Movistar brands.
Although there is limited data for the fixed-line market, we believe fixed-line telephony continues its decline. The only data available on the fixed-line market comes from América Móvil and Telefónica, although Telefónica del Peru no longer reports results separately in Peruvian currency for fixed-line operations. This marks further consolidation of Telefónica’s operations in Peru.
Investment is also flowing into the country. With both America Móvil and Telefónica investing significant funds in the country in Q211, we believe the market will continue to grow. Additionally, China’s VelaTel launched GO Movil in Peru in Q311, providing WiMAX 4G broadband services throughout the country. The firm forecast 16,000 subscribers in the first year of operations, but the company looks set to exceed these operations. Mobile broadband is likely to be hugely successful in Peru, as fixed broadband is not suitable for Peruvian terrain, and a large proportion of the population still remains unconnected.
Despite this, the company came under fire in August over the renewal of licences. The regulator attempted to charge Movistar US$830mn to renew contracts in August 2011, but this was disputed by the operator. The final decision is yet to be made as of time of writing.
Current broadband offers from América Móvil and Telefónica are usually much more expensive than ubiquitous cabinas where the majority of Peruvians access the internet. However, this is likely to change with the entrance of GO Movil, which aims to match the cost of internet access – under PEN1 per hour.
The company has begun operations in seven regional centres, but has yet to enter the capital of Lima. This would be the most lucrative region for GO Movil, and we expect the company to launch services there soon. BMI believes the entrance of this player will lead to much greater competition and productivity in the Peruvian broadband sector.
Another low-cost Asian company will soon take on the Peruvian market. Viettel is set to enter the mobile market in mid-2012, following the signing of the concession contract in May 2011. The company is currently undertaking network development, and local media reports suggest Viettel is aiming for a May 2012 launch date. BMI welcomes the operator’s proposed target of low-income groups, due to significant room for expansion in these groups. While mobile penetration is 82.5%, BMI believes that in rural areas it is much less, while the urban area bolsters figures.
Peru Mobile Market SWOT Analysis
Peru Wireline Business Environment SWOT
Peru Political SWOT
Peru Economic SWOT
Peru Business Environment SWOT
Risk Reward Ratings Q112 - Latin America
Table: Q112 Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile, 2009-2016
Table: Telecoms Sector – ARPU, 2009-2016
Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line, 2009-2016
Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet, 2009-2016
Market Data Analysis
Table: Peru's Mobile Market, Q211
Table: Peru's Mobile Market – Net Additions, Q111 and Q211
ARPU And MOU
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Table: VAS Timeline
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Peru Mobile Market Overview
Table: Nextel Perú
Table: Peru Fixed-Line Market, June 2010
Table: Telefónica del Peru Lines In Operation (000) 2009-2011
Table: Operator Lines, 2010
Table: Internet By Technology And Subscriber Type, 2009 ('000)
Table: Wireline Developments
Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In Peru
Peru: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Company Monitor: Samsung Electronics
Table: Samsung Financial Results (KRWtrn)
Telefónica del Perú
Telefónica Móviles Perú (Movistar)
América Móvil Perú (Claro)
Nextel del Perú
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Glossary of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Risk/ Reward Ratings
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Ratings Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Telefónica Móviles Perú (Movistar)
- América Móvil Perú (Claro)
- Nextel del Perú
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