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East Africa Food and Drink Report Q1 2012

Business Monitor International, December 2011, Pages: 106

Business Monitor International's East Africa Food and Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, food and drink associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on East Africa's food and drink industry.

There is a lot of room for growth in Kenya's consumer sector. Even though it is not apparent when comparing per capita GDP, Kenya's consumer sector is significantly more developed than Tanzania and Uganda's (its two most prominent neighbours). The domestic food and drink processing industry is much stronger and internal trade systems are more developed, with organised grocery retail outlets much more widespread.

Following a challenging two-year period over 2008 and 2009, as post-election violence and then a sluggish economy reined in private consumption after a period of accelerated growth, Kenya is much more integrated into the global economy than the rest of the East African Community (EAC). Kenya is the EAC's economic hub and its most developed consumer market.

This strong Kenyan view is also backed up by the fact that BMI thinks companies can more efficiently reach the market in comparison to Tanzania and Uganda. Internal trade systems are stronger with mass grocery retail contributing an estimated 5% to consolidated grocery sales compared to a non-Kenyan East African average of about 1%.

Headline Industry Data:

- 2011 per capita food consumption local currency +11.34% y-o-y; forecast compound annual growth between 2011 and 2016 =+10.54%
- 2011 mass grocery retail sales = +23.50% y-o-y; forecast compound annual growth between 2011 and 2016 = +31.63%

BMI Industry View

Kenya
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Kenya Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Bacon - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Sausage - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Frozen Vegetables - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Milk - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Cream - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Yoghurt - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Butter - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Cheese - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Ice Cream - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Crispbread- Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Kenya Mass Grocery Retail Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Economic Activity
Table: Kenya - Economic Activity

Tanzania
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tanzania Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Tanzania Fish - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Tanzania Preserved Fish - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Tanzania Corn Oil - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Tanzania Milk - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Tanzania Cheese - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Tanzania Sweet Biscuits - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Tanzania Mass Grocery Retail Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Economic Activity
Growth Defiant In The Face Of Inflationary Challenge
Tanzania - Economic Activity

Uganda
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Table: Uganda Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Sugar Confectionery - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Tea - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Beer - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Carbonated Soft Drinks - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Fish - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Preserved Fish - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Milk - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Uganda Mass Grocery Retail Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Economic Activity
Table: Uganda - Economic Activity

Sudan & South Sudan
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Table: Sudan Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Table: Sudan Mass Grocery Retail Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2016
Economic Activity
Economic Data Flattering To Deceive
Table: South Sudan And Sudan - Population, 2008 And 2050
South Sudan And Sudan - GDP, US$Bn
Table: South Sudan National Bureau Of Statistics GDP Regional Comparisons
Table: South Sudan National Bureau Of Statistics GDP/GNI Regional Comparison
Table: South Sudan - Social And Educational Indicators

Global Food & Drink View
Food & Drink Q311 Roundup: Core Views
Food Prices Forecast To Fall By Year-End But Still Higher Than 2010
Core Views Q311

Regional Overview
Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings
Nigeria and South Africa Out In Front
Table: Nigeria - Q112 Food & Drink Ratings
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q112

Regional Overview – Macroeconomic Outlook
A Retrospective

Regional Overview – Market Overview
An Overview Of The East African Food And Drink Industry

Regional Overview – Competitive Landscape I
Africa To Guzzle A Lot More Beer, Look Out For Nigeria

Regional Overview – Competitive Landscape II
Tesco Could Follow Wal-Mart Into Africa

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail

- Kenya
- Sudan
- South Sudan
- Tanzania
- Uganda

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