Iraq Defence and Security Report Q1 2012

  • ID: 2011201
  • December 2011
  • Region: Iraq
  • 89 Pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Business Monitor International's Iraq Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Iraq's defence and security industry.

Much of the attention on Iraq in H211 and going into 2012, will focus on the agreed withdrawal of the remaining 46,000 US military forces in the country and the subsequent power vacuum. The withdrawal of US forces will heighten security risks, both domestic and foreign. Domestically, the American presence has kept sectarian violence in the northern regions of the country relatively contained, and Kurds have expressed fears that the end of a US troop presence would lead to an uptick in Arab-Kurd violence.

Nearly a year after its creation, we note that the risks of political instability and a government collapse are now higher than ever. The foundations of the Arbil Agreement, which led to the creation of a government in December 2010, rested on a number of promises that would be offered to the junior coalition partners (the Kurdish and Iraqiya blocs) in return for READ MORE >

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Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Iraq Security SWOT
Iraq Defence Industry SWOT
Iraq Political SWOT
Iraq Economic SWOT
Iraq Business Environment SWOT

Global Political Outlook
Eurozone At Centre-Stage, MENA Still A Major Risk
Global Hotspots: Eurozone, MENA, Afghanistan And Korea
Table: Election Timetable, 2012
United States
Latin America
Western Europe
Central, Eastern And South-Eastern Europe
Russia And The Former Soviet Union
Middle East And North Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
Wild Cards To Watch
Middle East Security Overview
The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
The Middle East In A Global Context
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Regional Power Dynamics
Nuclear Proliferation
External Powers
Scenarios For The Middle East
What If Assad’s Regime Falls? Scenarios Assessed
Security Risk Analysis
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And North Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Iraq’s Security Risk Rating
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Challenges And Threats To Stability
Scenarios For Political Evolution
Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
Table: Iraq’s Insurgent Groups
External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
Market Overview

Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Iraq’s Armed Forces, 2000-2008 (‘000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) PERSONNEL
Table: Iraq’s Available Manpower For Military Services, 2009-2016 (aged 16-29)
Defence Expenditure
Table: Iraq’s Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016
Table: Expenditure Scenario: Changing % Of GDP
Defence Trade
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Activity
Table: Iraq - Economic Activity

Company Profile
Dabin Group

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry

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Dabin Group

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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