Bulgaria Insurance Report Q1 2012
Business Monitor International, December 2011, Pages: 80
Business Monitor International's Bulgaria Insurance Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, insurance associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Bulgaria's insurance industry.
In many ways, Bulgaria remains an archetypal Central and Eastern European insurance market – albeit one that is (very) underdeveloped by most metrics. Its weaknesses are the lack of absolute size, modest (or negative) growth in most lines over the last five years or so, susceptibility to a fairly uninspiring outlook for the economy and fundamental constraints – such as the inability of most households to afford life insurance. In part because of intense competition in auto-related lines, non-life penetration has not advanced. Its strength is that, because of government policies and past financial crises, the sector is dominated by a large number of foreign players, each of whom sees Bulgaria as a small fragment of a much larger business across the region – or, indeed, all Europe. Vienna Insurance Group, Allianz and KBC, for instance, all have leadership positions in both major segments, through their respective offshoots in Bulgaria. Other foreign companies that are present include Generali-PPF, Uniqa, MetLife Alico, Chartis, Grawe and Eureko.
As of November 2011, it appears that non-life premiums will hardly grow at all in the year as a whole, relative to 2010. Penetration remains on a downwards trend, and is well below 2% of GDP. Various developments through Q411 indicate that the major companies are – with some success – boosting profitability through measures to improve efficiency and reduce costs. Allianz’s non-life business in Bulgaria improved its profitability in the first nine months of 2011 relative to the previous corresponding period. In early October 2011, Vienna Insurance Group announced that it would be merging Bulstrad with Bulgarski Imoti, in order to realise synergy benefits for a combined group that accounts for about 16% of the non-life market (and which is a major player in the life segment as well).
In the life segment, the latest figures published by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) indicate that premiums – and density – are growing, if at single digit rates. The main impetus for growth appears to be a strong increase –from a very low base – in unit-linked products. Another key development, in October 2011, has been the announcement from KBC that it hopes to extend its bancassurance business model to Bulgaria: for this reason, the Belgian financial services group is moving to full control of DZI. Overall, though, BMI stress that they expect that the life segment will still be very underdeveloped at the end of the forecast period.
Executive Summary
Table: Bulgaria’s Total Premiums 2008-2016
Key Insights And Key Risks
SWOT Analysis
Bulgaria Insurance Industry SWOT
Bulgaria Political SWOT
Bulgaria Economic SWOT
Bulgaria Business Environment SWOT
Life
Central And Eastern Europe Life Sector Overview
Table: Central And Eastern European Life Premiums, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
Bulgaria Life Sector Update
Table: Life Segment – Breakdown Of Premiums, January-July 2010
Life Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Bulgaria’s Total Life Premiums 2008-2016
Growth Drivers And Risk Management Projections
Population
Table: Bulgaria’s Insurance Key Drivers, Demographics 2008-2016
Non-Life
Central And Eastern Europe Non-Life Sector Overview
Table: Central And Eastern European Non-Life Premiums, 2008-2016 (US$mn)
Bulgaria Non-Life Sector Update
Table: Non Life Segment – Breakdown Of Premiums, January-July 2010
Non-Life Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Bulgaria’s Total Non-Life Premiums 2008-2016
Growth Drivers And Risk Management Projections
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Bulgaria Economic Activity, 2011-2016
Political Stability Outlook
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
Healthcare
Healthcare Insurance
Epidemiology
Table: Main Causes Of Death In Bulgaria (per 100,000 population)
Table: Bulgaria’s Insurance Key Drivers, Disability-Adjusted Life Years 2008-2016
Motor
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Autos 2008-2015
Tourism
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Tourism 2008-2015
Insurance Business Environment
Table: Bulgaria’s Insurance Risk/Reward Rating
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Insurance Risk/Reward Ratings
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Analysis
Major Players In Bulgaria’s Insurance Sector
Table: Non-Life– Ranking Of Companies By Premiums, January-July 2010
Table: Life– Ranking Of Companies By Premiums, January-July 2010
Company Profiles
Local Company Profiles
Armeec
Bul Ins
Lev Ins
Regional Company Profiles
AEGON
Allianz
Aviva
AXA
BNP Paribas Cardif
ERGO
Eureko
Generali
GRAWE
Groupama
HDI-Gerling/ Talanx
ING
KBC Group
MetLife ALICO
Prudential Financial
QBE
RSA
UNIQA
Vienna Insurance Group
Zurich
BMI Methodology
Insurance Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Insurance Risk/Reward Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Armeec
- Bul Ins
- Lev Ins
- AEGON
- Allianz
- Aviva
- AXA
- BNP Paribas Cardif
- ERGO
- Eureko
- Generali
- GRAWE
- Groupama
- HDI-Gerling/ Talanx
- ING
- KBC Group
- MetLife ALICO
- Prudential Financial
- QBE
- RSA
- UNIQA
- Vienna Insurance Group
- Zurich
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