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Epidemiology: Influenza - Incident cases expected to remain stable due to low vaccination rates

Datamonitor, Oct 2011, Pages: 35


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It is forecast that in 2011 there will roughly 107.51 million incident cases of seasonal influenza in the seven major markets (the US, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK), and approximately 110.54 million cases are predicted for 2021. The number of incident cases of seasonal influenza is expected to remain fairly stable throughout the forecast period.

Features and benefits

- Gain insight into market potential, including a robust 10-year epidemiology forecast of seasonal influenza incident rates.
- Understand the key epidemiologic risk factors associated with seasonal influenza.

Highlights

- Datamonitor estimates that the US will have the largest number of incident cases of seasonal influenza between 2011 and 2021. If the five major EU markets are considered as one entity, they will have a significant portion of incident cases throughout the period, with 52.12 million incident cases in 2011 and 52.29 million cases in 2020.
- For incident cases of seasonal influenza in the seven major markets, children under the age of 15 will have a similar number of total incident cases as adults over the age of 65 years in 2011 (20.92 million cases and 16.52 million cases, respectively).

Your key questions answered

- What are the most robust sources for seasonal influenza incidence data?
- How will the patient population change over the next decade in the US, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK?
- How do changes in population structure and risk factors affect the trend in incidents of seasonal influenza cases?



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