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Malaysia Power Report Q1 2012

Business Monitor International, January 2012, Pages: 54

Business Monitor International's Malaysia Power Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, power associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Malaysia's power industry.

BMI View: Taking into account the macroeconomic forecasts of our Country Risk service, as well as underlying dynamics specific to the power sector, we reconfirm that the performances of power markets will differentiate sharply across regions. While Asia continues to be our global outperformer, continued weakness in the US and eurozone economies further corroborates our view that the developed countries are in for sluggish supply and demand growth.

The author also reiterates its view that a number of trends identified over previous months will consolidate in the near- to-medium term:

- Based on BMI's macroeconomic global assumptions, growth potential in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) power markets is also likely to be hindered.

- The extended Africa coverage reinforces our view that the region presents strong potential, given its currently low electrification rate, strong demographic dynamics and positive economic performance.

- However, the author reiterates that not all planned projects should be taken at face value, as funding difficulties and poor business environment are likely to delay or stall some of them.

- The author expects nuclear to remain a hot topic, with stark differences in regional position. While new nuclear developments are expected to face significant financial and political obstacles in developed countries, developing countries, both in Asia and in the Middle East, have continued to show strong support for the technology.

Non-OECD Markets To Dominate Supply And Demand Growth
The author reiterates its view that non-Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries are expected to dominate the supply and demand trends, overshadowing the developed markets. In particular, sharp increases in electricity generation, consumption and capacity will make the Asia region our global outperformer. While China and India are undoubtedly the biggest markets in the region, we anticipate that power-hungry Cambodia, Vietnam and Indonesia will also make a significant contribution to the regional performance, owing to their elevated average growth rates.

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Malaysia Power SWOT

Global Industry Overview
Slower Growth In Developed Markets To Accentuate Differences
Regional Industry Overview
In For A Sharp Expansion Of Generation And Consumption
Nuclear Power In Asia

Industry Forecast Scenario
Malaysia Country Snapshot (Macro)
Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
Country Snapshot: Power Sector

Malaysia Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity
Table: Malaysia Total Generation Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015
Table: Malaysia Total Generation Data
Table: Malaysia Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015
Table: Malaysia Electricity Generating Capacity Data

Electricity Consumption
Table: Malaysia Total Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015
Table: Malaysia Total Consumption Data

Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
Table: Malaysia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015
Table: Malaysia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data
Table: Malaysia Trade Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015
Table: Malaysia Trade Data

Key Policies/Market Structure
Regulation and Competition
Key Projects Database
Table: Malaysia Power Plants And Transmission Grids
Business Environment
Regional Risk/Reward Ratings
Asia Power Risk/Reward Ratings
Power Risk/Reward Ratings

Malaysia Power Rating
Rewards
Risks

Competitive Landscape
Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB)
Syarikat SESCO Berhad (SESCO)
Sabah Electricity Supply Sdn Bhd (SESB)
Malakoff
Powertek
YTL Power

Company Monitor
Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB)
Syarikat SESCO Berhad (SESCO)

Glossary of Terms
Table: Glossary of Terms
Methodology and Sources

Industry Forecasts
Power Industry – Data Methodology
Generation and Consumption Data
Electricity Generation Capacity Data
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators
Sources

- Syarikat SESCO Berhad (SESCO)
- Sabah Electricity Supply Sdn Bhd (SESB)
- Malakoff
- Powertek
- YTL Power

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