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Sri Lanka Commercial Banking Report Q1 2012

Business Monitor International, January 2012, Pages: 67

Business Monitor International's Sri Lanka Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Sri Lanka's commercial banking industry.

Since Q108, BMI have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. BMI do this through BMIs Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures they capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of BMIs insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the ‘Limits of potential returns’ includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the ‘Limits of potential returns’, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the ‘Risks to realisation of returns’ also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.

Further details on how BMI calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the ‘Limits of potential returns’ are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the ‘Limits of potential returns’, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the ‘Risks to the realisation of returns’ category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody’s Investor Services’ ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s long-term risk rating.

Executive Summary
Table: Levels (LKRbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At May 2011
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2011-2015 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
Table: Projected Levels (LKRbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)

SWOT Analysis
Sri Lanka Commercial Banking SWOT
Sri Lanka Political SWOT
Sri Lanka Economic SWOT
Sri Lanka Business Environment SWOT

Business Environment Outlook
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Sri Lanka’s Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings

Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Asia Banking Sector Outlook
Table: Banks’ Bond Portfolios
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2012
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, 2011f (US$)
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields

Sri Lanka Banking Sector Outlook

Economic Outlook
Table: Sri Lanka Economic Activity, 2008-2015

Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Table: Protagonists In Sri Lanka’s Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Licensed Commercial Banks In Sri Lanka

Company Profiles
Bank of Ceylon
Table: Key Statistics For Bank of Ceylon, 2008-Q109 (LKRbn)
Commercial Bank of Ceylon
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (LKRmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
DFCC Vardhana Bank
Table: Key Statistics For DFCC Vardhana Bank, 2007-2008 (LKR ‘000)
Habib Bank
Table: Key Statistics For Habib Bank, 2007-2008 (LKR ‘000)
Hatton National Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (LKRmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
National Development Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (LKRmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Nations Trust Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (LKRmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
PABC Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (LKRmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)

BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Commercial Bank Business Environment Ratings
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

- Bank of Ceylon
- Commercial Bank of Ceylon
- DFCC Vardhana Bank
- Habib Bank
- Hatton National Bank
- National Development Bank
- Nations Trust Bank
- PABC Bank

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