Syria Defence and Security Report Q1 2012

  • ID: 2038179
  • January 2012
  • Region: Syria
  • 92 Pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Business Monitor International's Syria Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Syria's defence and security industry.

Syria continues to crack down brutally on anti-regime protesters with the most recent (July 2011) assaults on Hama and the eastern towns of Deir al-Zour and Abu Kamal bringing the death toll to more than 1,400 since March 2011, when the protests and crackdown began. With international opinion over military intervention divided and little appetite in the West to get involved, President Bashar Assad’s regime would appear to be secure for now although some questions have been raised about the continued unity of the military.

There are also fears in some quarters that should Assad fall, the country, with 17 minority groups, could splinter into rival groups in a similar way to Iraq after the fall of Saddam. Regional powers Israel, Saudi Arabia and Iran all have vested interests in the country and are likely to try to take advantage of any power vacuum presented READ MORE >

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Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Syria Security SWOT
Syria Defence Industry SWOT
Syria Political SWOT
Syria Economic SWOT
Syria Business Environment SWOT

Global Political Outlook
Global Hotspots: Eurozone, MENA, Afghanistan And Korea
Table: Election Timetable, 2012
United States
Latin America
Western Europe
Central, Eastern And South-Eastern Europe
Russia And The Former Soviet Union
Middle East And North Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
Wild Cards To Watch

Middle East Security Overview
The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
The Middle East In A Global Context

Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Regional Power Dynamics
Nuclear Proliferation
External Powers

Scenarios For The Middle East
Security Risk Analysis

BMI's Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And North Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index

Political Overview
Domestic Politics
Regional Outlook
Foreign Affairs

Domestic Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
International Deployments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction

Latest Developments
Market Overview

Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Syria’s Armed Forces, 2002-2008 (‘000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Syria’s Available Manpower For Military Services, 2009-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Defence Expenditure
Table: Syrian Government Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016
Table: Syria’s Defence Expenditure Scenario – Changing % Of GDP, 2008-2016 (US$mn)
Defence Trade

Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Syria – Macroeconomic Activity, 2008-2015

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry

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