Southeast Asian Economic Outlook 2011/12
OECD Publishing, January 2012, Pages: 220
Increased global uncertainty is casting a shadow over the economic outlook of Southeast Asia. Yet, as opposed to most OECD economies, the region will enjoy solid growth until 2016. According to this second edition of the Southeast Asian Economic Outlook, real gross domestic product is projected to grow at 5.6% per year on average during 2012-16 in the six Southeast Asian economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam), a rate of expansion that is slightly lower than the average of the pre-2008 crisis period (6.1% for 2003-07).
In order to build on past achievements and consolidate strong and inclusive growth in the years ahead, the Southeast Asian economies need to carry out structural reforms to enhance productivity. Policy priorities vary among countries reflecting the region’s heterogeneity in natural resource endowments, institutional settings, organisational capacities and socio-political background. The national structural reform agendas need to be underpinned by strong macroeconomic policies and effective implementation of medium-term development plans in areas such as agriculture, health care, education and skills, infrastructure, taxation, and support for small and medium-sized enterprises.
This edition of the Southeast Asian Economic Outlook examines the macroeconomic situation, policies and medium-term growth prospects for countries in the region; structural challenges; green growth strategies, policies and institutions; and environmental taxes. It finds that growth for the region will moderate in the near term but solid growth performance will continue until 2016. To sustain this favourable outlook, countries need to meet considerable structural challenges. Green growth offers an alternative growth strategy in the long term.
Acronyms and abbreviations
Preface
Executive summary
PART ONE: REGIONAL ECONOMIC MONITOR
Chapter One. Medium-term growth and recent macroeconomic situation: prospects and assessments
-Introduction
-Recent macroeconomic situation
-Medium-term perspective: the evolving growth landscape
-Medium-term challenges from ageing populations
-Conclusion
-Technical appendix
-Notes
-References
PART TWO. POLICY CHALLENGES AND RESPONSES
Chapter Two. Coping with global uncertainty: near-term policy responses
-Introduction
-Near-term policy challenges in the region
-Policy responses to cope with increasing global uncertainties
-Conclusion
-Notes
-References
Chapter Three. Structural policy country notes: medium-term policy challenges
-Indonesia
-Malaysia
-Philippines
-Singapore
-Thailand
-Viet Nam
-References
PART THREE: THEMATIC FOCUS ON GREEN GROWTH
Chapter Four. Carbon emissions and footprints of nations
-Introduction
-Carbon emission trends
-Carbon footprints of nations
-Implications for mitigation policies
-Notes
-References
Chapter Five. Green growth strategies, policies and institutions
-Introduction
-Green growth and ASEAN
-The experiences of six ASEAN countries
-Green growth policy challenges
-Focus: Korea’s green growth strategy
-Notes
-References
Chapter Six. Environmental tax and green growth
-Introduction
-Principles of environmentally related taxes
-Experiences with environment tax instruments in the OECD
-Environment tax instruments in Southeast Asian countries
-Conclusion
-Notes
-References
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