Italy Commercial Banking Report Q1 2012
Business Monitor International, February 2012
Business Monitor International's Italy Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Italy's commercial banking industry.
ABOUT COMMERCIAL BANKING BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT RATING (CBBER)
Since Q108, BMI has described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed. BMI does this through its Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures BMI captures the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of BMI's insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the 'Limits of potential returns' includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the 'Limits of potential returns', the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the 'Risks to realisation of returns' also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI's assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how BMI calculates the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the 'Limits of potential returns' are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the 'Limits of potential returns', it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country.
Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the 'Risks to the realisation of returns' category, the market elements (ie how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody's Investor Services' ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI's long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
Table: Levels (EURbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At September 2011
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2016 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
Table: Projected Levels (EURbn), 2008-2016
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn), 2008-2016
SWOT Analysis
Italy Commercial Banking SWOT
Italy Political SWOT
Italy Economic SWOT
Italy Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Regional Banking Sector Outlook
Getting Squeezed On All Fronts
Regional Banking Sector Forecast Overview
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments in 2012
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits (2011)
Table: Interbank Rates and Bond Yields
Italy Banking Sector
No Respite For Italian Banks
Economic Outlook
Table: Italy – GDP By Expenditure, Current Prices Breakdown
Competitive Landscape
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Italy's Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Major Banks In Italy
Company Profiles
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro
Table: Stock Market Indicators,2006-2011
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
UniCredit Group
Table: Stock Market Indicators,2006-2011
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn, unless stated), 2006-2010
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2006-2010
Table: Key Ratios (%),2006-2010
Banco Desio
Antonveneta
UBI Banca
Table: Key Statistics For UBI Banca, 2008-2010 (EURmn)
Banche Popolari Unite
Intesa Sanpaolo
Table: Key Statistics For Intesa Sanpaolo, 2008-2010 (EURmn)
CheBanca!
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena
Table: Key Statistics For Banca Monte Dei Paschi Di Siena, 2008-2010 (EURmn)
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Antonveneta
- Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena
- Banca Nazionale del Lavoro
- Banche Popolari Unite
- Banco Desio
- CheBanca!
- Intesa Sanpaolo
- UBI Banca
- UniCredit Group
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