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Vietnam Defence and Security Report Q1 2012 - Product Image

Vietnam Defence and Security Report Q1 2012

  • Published: February 2012
  • Region: Vietnam
  • 81 Pages
  • Business Monitor International

Vietnam Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Vietnam's defence and security industry.

If security fears dominated Vietnam’s strategic attention in the middle of 2011, economic fears had supplanted them by the end of the year. Tensions with China over maritime disputes in the contested South China Sea receded thanks to diplomatic efforts on both sides, leaving the uncertain economic outlook as Vietnam’s gravest concern for 2012. Of all the East Asian emerging economies, Vietnam is perhaps the most vulnerable to economic shocks, thanks to high rates of inflation, fairly high debt levels, and dependence on Western banks.

For defence, any economic downturn would of course put downward pressure on the country’s military budget. Vietnam already spends more on defence as a proportion of GDP than all its South East Asian neighbours except Singapore, and so it will be impossible to keep growing the budget rapidly if the economy starts to stall. There is no transparency READ MORE >

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Vietnam Security SWOT
Vietnam Defence Industry SWOT
Vietnam Political SWOT
Vietnam Economic SWOT
Vietnam Business Environment SWOT

Global Political Outlook
Landmark Political Events Looming In 2012
Global Flashpoints: Eurozone, Syria, Iran, Afghanistan, Korean Peninsula
Table: Election Timetable, 2012
United States
Russia
China
Wild Cards To Watch

South East Asia Security Overview
South East Asia In A Global Context
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Sino-US Rivalry In South East Asia
The Outlook For South East Asia

Political Risk Analysis – Sino-US Power Struggle
Chinese Influence In Asia: A SWOT Analysis
US Influence In Asia: A SWOT Analysis
Table: Asian States And Their Relationships With China
Emerging Geopolitical Patterns

Security Risk Analysis
Asia Pacific Defence And Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Vietnam’s Security Risk

Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook

Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
Governance
Religion
Piracy And Maritime Security
Border Security
External Security Situation
The South China Sea
Bilateral Relations

Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
Weapons Of Mass Destruction

Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Arms Trade Overview
Procurement Trends And Developments

Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Vietnam’s Armed Forces, 2000-2008 (’000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Services, 2009-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Government Expenditure
Table: Vietnam’s Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016
Table: Vietnam’s Defence Expenditure Scenario – Changing % Of GDP, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
Defence Trade
Table: Vietnam’s Defence Exports, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
Table: Vietnam’s Defence Imports, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
Table: Vietnam’s Defence Trade Balance, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Vietnam – Economic Activity, 2011-2016

Country Snapshot: Vietnam Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources

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