Libya Infrastructure Report 2012
Business Monitor International, February 2012, Pages: 63
Business Monitor International's Libya Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, infrastructure associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Libya's infrastructure industry.
2011 was a momentous year for Libya. A 10-month civil war sparked by the Arab Spring in February saw Libyan dictator Muammar Qadhafi’s regime toppled and the leader himself later killed in October. The National Transitional Council (NTC) is currently in power, and acting Prime Minister Abdurrahim el- Keib has appointed a transitional cabinet to lead the country to elections which are planned for August 2012.
Priorities beforehand will include uniting the various militia factions, securing stability and ending violence, restoring access to basic utilities and resuming oil exports in order to secure much-needed revenues. In amongst this agenda is the issue of reconstruction, which is estimated to cost between US$200bn and US$480bn over ten years. This is creating huge potential opportunities for construction companies, many of whom are competing to get a head start and curry favour with the new Libyan leaders.
Reconstruction priorities will include public and social infrastructure that provide crucial services, such as healthcare, education, electricity and water supply. Repairing transport infrastructure will also be crucial to getting the economy back on track, especially those which serve oil exports.
Over the long-term, an overhaul of Libya’s infrastructure sector will be required. The country’s infrastructure was already in a bad state prior to the civil war, following years of underinvestment and international sanctions. Work to rehabilitate existing infrastructure and expand its scope is therefore necessary. However, currently the government has no structure in place through which to procure projects; therefore, institutions and regulations will need to be established. This is a longer term vision and will only come to fruition following elections and some semblance political stability.
Despite the longer term nature of reconstruction in Libya, companies have been eager to court the NTC in order to secure new contracts and protect existing projects halted once the civil war erupted. Companies are eager to assess the status of pre-war contracts, with project sites likely to have been looted or damaged. Indeed it is unclear if contracts awarded under the old regime will be honoured, whilst the NTC has pledged to honour contracts, it is currently reviewing US$150bn worth of contracts and will reassess those awarded corruptly.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Infrastructure Industry SWOT
Market Overview
Libya
Table: Libya - Main Fields
Building Materials
Industry Trend Analysis – Global Building Materials: Asia And Latin America Demand Drive EM/Developed Market Divergence
Middle East North Africa Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Libya Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
Table: Libya Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Transport Infrastructure
Transport Infrastructure Overview
Major Projects Table – Transport
Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Overview
Table: Libya - Main Fields
Major Projects – Energy And Utilities
Table: Major Projects – Energy And Utilities
Residential/Non- Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview
Major Projects – Residential & Non-Residential Building
Major Projects - Construction And Social Infrastructure
Business Environment
Libya Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Rewards
Risks
Regional Overview
GCC Outperforms As North Africa Fails To Make A Dent
Table: Middle East And North Africa Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Company Monitor
SNC-Lavalin
Infrastructure Finance In 2012: Déjà Vu?
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Construction Industry
Data Methodology
Construction
Capital Investment
Construction Sector Employment
Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Overview
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
Project Finance Ratings
Table: Design And Construction Phase
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Commercial Construction
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Energy And Utilities
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Transport
Sources
- SNC-Lavalin
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