Eurozone Commercial Banking Report Q1 2012
Business Monitor International, February 2012, Pages: 51
Business Monitor International's Eurozone Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Eurozone's commercial banking industry.
Since Q108, BMI have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. BMI do this through their Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures BMI capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of their insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the 'Limits of potential returns' includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the 'Limits of potential returns', the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the 'Risks to realisation of returns' also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI's assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how BMI calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the 'Limits of potential returns' are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the 'Limits of potential returns', it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the 'Risks to the realisation of returns' category, the market elements (ie how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody's Investor Services' ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI's long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
Table: Levels (CADbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At September 2011
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2016 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
Table: Projected Levels (CADbn), 2008-2016
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn),2008-2016
SWOT Analysis
Eurozone Commercial Banking SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Eurozone Banking Sector Outlook
Getting Squeezed On All Fronts
Competitive Landscape
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Eurozone Commercial Banking Sector
List Of Banks
Table: Leading Eurozone Banks By Assets
Company Profiles
UniCredit Group
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2006-2011
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2006-2010 (%)
BNP Paribas
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2004-2010
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2004-2009 (%)
Société Générale
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2004-2010
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2004-2009 (%)
Crédit Agricole
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2004-2010
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (US$mn, unless stated)
Eurozone Commercial Banking Report Q1
Table: Key Ratios, 2004-2009 (%)
Natixis
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2004-2010
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2004-2009 (%)
Deutsche Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2004-2010
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2004-2009 (%)
Commerzbank
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2004-2010
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (EURmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2004-2009 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2004-2009 (%)
ING
Banco Santander
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- UniCredit Group
- BNP Paribas
- Société Générale
- Crédit Agricole
- Natixis
- Deutsche Bank
- Commerzbank
- ING
- Banco Santander
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