Mozambique Power Report Q2 2012
Business Monitor International, February 2012, Pages: 55
Business Monitor International's Mozambique Power Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, power associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Mozambique's power industry.
BMI View: With a growing economy, there is considerable pressure on Mozambique to meet increasing energy demands. As such, a number of projects to increase electricity production and to improve energy transmission are planned. Hydroelectricity meets the majority of Mozambique's needs, but advances are planned in renewables, with three new photovoltaic power stations planned, and in gas-fired energy provision, with the construction of a 140MW plant. The country is a net exporter and maintenance on one of the turbines at Cahora Bassa power station in early 2012 led reduced exports to neighbouring Swaziland and Botswana.
In the five years from 2011 to 2016, BMI forecasts that Mozambique's overall power generation will increase by an annual average of 8.8% to reach 27.6TWh, with hydropower contributing to the majority of this growth. Gas-fired power generation capacity will increase – admittedly from a small base – by an average of 9.4% over this five-year period, boosted by the construction of a new 140MW gas-fired power plant.
Mozambique's power sector is heavily reliant on hydropower, which, at present, is primarily sourced from the Cahora Bassa Hydroelectric Plant (HCB) in Tete province. The plant produces 2,075MW of power, the majority of which is exported to Eskom in South Africa and Zesa in Zimbabwe, although state power utility EDM stated in early 2012 that it wants to raise its own share of energy produced from 400MW to 500MW – a move that would lead to reduced exports. However, there is scope to increase production here, with its total capacity estimated to stand at 12GW.
BMI envisages Mozambique's net power consumption increasing by an annual average of 8.5% over its 10-year forecast period, from 13.83TWh in 2011 to 31.02TWh by 2021. By 2016, it predicts that Mozambique's power sector will develop a net export potential of 3.66TWh, but will potentially fall slightly to 3.61TWh by 2021.
Key developments for Mozambique's power sector include:
- South African petrochemicals group Sasol announced in November 2011 that it is planning to construct a 140MW gas-fired power plant in Mozambique, as part of a joint-venture with state utility EDM. The plant, which will cost up to ZAR1.8bn (US$220.14mn), is likely to begin operating in late 2013.
- Brazilian energy firm Eletrobras announced plans to collaborate with EDM on a feasibility study for the construction of a high tension transmission line covering the 1,400km between Tete and Maputo.
- The government announced plans to invest US$35mn in the construction of three 500kW photovoltaic power stations in the country's northern province of Niassa.
BMI Industry View
Botswana Industry SWOT
Global Industry Overview
Power Sector Themes And Trends For 2012
Regional Industry Overview
Regional Trends To Support Investment
Industry Forecast Scenario
Angola Macroeconomic Snapshot
Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts
Electricity Consumption
Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
Table: Mozambique Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Trade Data And Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Trade Data And Forecasts
Key Policies And Market Structure
Table: Southern Africa - Major Projects
Risk/Reward Ratings
MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings
MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
Mozambique Power Risk/Reward Ratings
Competitive Landscape/Company Monitor
Main Utilities In East Africa
Main Utilities In Southern Africa (Ex. South Africa)
Table: Glossary of Terms
Methodology and Sources
Industry Forecasts
Power Industry - Data Methodology
Generation and Consumption Data
Electricity Generation Capacity Data
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators
Sources
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