World FTTx Market Watch Service - 2012 - 5th Edition
IDATE, May 2013
Our FTTx Watch Service is specifically designed to provide operators, vendors, government bodies, regulators and local authorities with a comprehensive analysis of the issues affecting this promising market.
FTTx Watch Structure
Database
- Database on 70 countries
- Rollout by 150+ FTTx operators
- Operator market share by country
- Vendor market share by technology
- Forecasts up to 2016
Monthly insights
Analyst access
Optionally market reports
Markets & Forecasts - Database
A unique database devoted to FTTx, including market data and forecasts, along with a breakdown by technologies drawing on our continuous tracking of agreements between operators and vendors.
Regulation
Major FTTx regulatory issues and national FTTx programs
Market data
2009-2010-2011
By zone and for 70 countries
Subscribers
VDSL
FTTH/B
FTTLA (DOCSIS 3)
FTTx/ LAN
Homes Passed
VDSL
FTTH/B
FTTLA (DOCSIS 3)
FTTx/ LAN
Network architectures
FTTH
FTTB
FTTN
Technologies & Vendors
BPON
GPON
EPON/GEPON
Ethernet
DOCSIS 3
Operators Market Share
Top 3 or 5 by country
% FTTx amongst the total Broadband
Breakdown by architecture: FTTN, FTTH/B, FTTLA
Projects
Up to 5 main projects by country: Operators, Utilities, Local Authorities
Architectures
Technologies
Investments
FTTx deployment
ARPU
Subscribers & home passed
Services & pricing
Forecasts
2012 to 2016
By zone and by country (57 countries covered)
FTTH/B Subscribers vs. VDSL subscribers
Technologies by zone: VDSL, BPON, GPON,EPON/GEPON, EP2P, as well as 10 GPON, 10GEPON and WDMPON
Geographical Zones & Countries
Africa
- Algeria
- Egypt
- Morocco
- Nigeria*
- South Africa
Asia-Pacific
- Australia
- Bangladesh*
- China
- Hong Kong
- India
- Japan
- Malaysia
- New Zealand
- Philippines*
- South Korea
- Singapore
- Taiwan
- Vietnam*
Latin America
- Argentina
- Brazil
- Chile
- Venezuela*
- Colombia
Middle East
- Bahrain
- Kuwait
- Iran*
- Iraq*
- Israël
- Jordan*
- Lebanon*
- Oman
- Qatar
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE
North America
- Canada
- USA
- Mexico
Central and Eastern Europe
- Bulgaria
- Czech Republic
- Croatia
- Estonia
- Hungary
- Latvia
- Lithuania
- Poland
- Romania
- Russia
- Serbia*
- Slovakia
- Slovenia
- Ukraine
- Turkey
Western Europe
- Andorra
- Austria
- Belgium
- Denmark
- France
- Germany
- Greece
- Italy
- Luxembourg
- Netherlands
- Norway
- Portugal
- Spain
- Sweden
- Switzerland
- The UK
* Emerging FTTx countries
Insights
Monthly insights on key FTTx market issues: outstanding event of the month, analysis of the latest market trends, player interviews (operators, vendors, regulators, public authorities), highlights from major conferences…
A selection of complementary market reports (optionally)
VDSL2 Vectoring – Bonding - Beyond
Promises vs reality (Publication date: December 2011)
This report analyses bonding and vectoring techniques improving existing copper-based broadband architecture. It highlights the performance and maturity, the importance of regulatory framework and the actual network equipment providers offering. It also provides detailed analyses of operators' stakes and the role of copper in general within ultrafast-broadband networks.
FTTx Business Models
How costly are national broadband plans? (Publication date: Q2 2012)
This report provides readers with a detailed inventory of the FTTx technologies deployed in the different markets and analyses the positioning of key FTTx players.
FTTx Services
Market revenues (Publication date: Q2 2012)
This study spotlights the increases in ARPU after FTTx deployments, evaluates the market value and compares the part of fiber amongst Broadband service revenues.
Cable & IPTV face to cord-cutting
TV network benchmark (Publication date: Q3 2012)
This study examines the impact of OTT, satellite & DTT on managed services by cable & IPTV. It also highlights telcos & cablecos TV strategies.
Mobile Backhaul Strategies
4G networks: growing backhauling needs and use of fibre links (Publication date: December 2011)
This report spotlights telcos' strategies regarding backhauling and fixed mobile convergence, how the transport network is evolving within the migration to all-IP and which choices telcos take to meet the increasing demand of bandwidth. The study analyses the evolution of backhaul networks, its investment control and the necessary implementation with the legacy infrastructure.
Telcos TV Strategies
From a differentiation strategy to a strategy of innovation (Publication date: January 2012)
Telcos' TV services are currently enjoying one of the highest rates of growth in the marketplace. Initially a source of distinction between ISPs, TV has become a central part of telcos' marketing and growth strategies. This report takes a detailed look at the marketing strategies that telcos use when marketing their TV services, and at their growing prominence in a TV market in the throes of major upheavals.
Analyst Access
Consulting Hours - Direct access to IDATE FTTx experts - 5 hours per year
Analyst Brief - 30 minute conference call on a pre-selected FTTx topic
On-Site Presentation* - Clients may choose a theme covered by the service. Presentation given by an IDATE Analyst.
* Optional - additional fees: preparation + presentation + travel costs
Our Clients include:
NRAs and Public Authorities
- Arcep (French Authority)
- CMT
- FTTH Council Asia-Pacific
- FTTH Council Europe
- NMMH
- Ofcom (UK)
- Polish Authority
- PT Luxembourg
- Red.es
- TRA
Operators
- Deutsche Telekom
- Etisalat
- NBNCo - NTT
- Orange
- SFR
- Swisscom
- Telefonica
- Telecom Italia
Vendors
- Alcatel-Lucent
- Fujitsu
- Huawei
- Panasonic
- Reichle & De-Massari
- Samsung
- Tyco
- ZTE
Inventory of FTTH/B in Europe
More than sixteen percent increase in the number of subscribers for FTTH/B in Europe in first half 2012
Europe (EU-35)[1] reported a solid 16% increase in the number of FTTH/B subscribers during first half 2012. FTTH/B coverage continues to progress fast in Europe with a growth of 16% in the period. There were nearly 5.95 million FTTH/B subscribers in the EU-35 at mid-2012, and around 32 million homes passed.
Main European economies are now on tracks for FTTH/B: Turkey presents a 82% growth in terms of subscribers in first half 2012, and other countries, even considered as mature markets show very interesting growth rates (+31% in the Netherlands, +23% in Norway). Spain is progressing with 44% increase in the number of subscribers and then entering the FTTH Global Ranking[2]. Another country is entering this ranking at mid-2012: Luxembourg, where the government have very ambitious objectives that will probably be reached on time (80% of the households passed with 100 Mbps at end 2013, 100% at end 2015).
Among CIS countries, because of its specific demographic features, Russia leads the way in terms of FTTH/B subscribers and homes passed – and the potential of the Russian market is huge, with 5.2 million FTTH/B subscribers and 15.8 million homes passed at mid-2012. Ukraine is also home of more than a million FTTH/B subscribers (+85% increase during first semester 2012), and we expect to see new players becoming involved in FTTH/B deployments in the near future.
As in previous years, IDATE has been commissioned by the FTTH Council Europe to provide an overview of the status of FTTH/B rollouts across Europe at mid-2012. To date, IDATE has identified around 260 FTTH/B projects in the EU-35.
The first type of player to become involved in FTTH/B deployments was alternative carriers which singlehandedly account for 51% of FTTH/B homes passed in Europe. Alternative carriers have performed rollouts in France, Italy, Germany, Sweden and in Eastern Europe (Slovakia, Slovenia, Romania, and Bulgaria).
We include cable companies in this category as they are often involved in large-scale FTTB network rollouts – with examples that include Numericable in France. Cablecos have the advantage of not having to negotiate building-by-building to access homes since the coaxial outlet is already installed plus, in a great many instances, the civil engineering to pull the fibre to the foot of the building has already been performed.
Another category of stakeholder is local authorities and regional power companies (which are often owned by public authorities). While this category represents only 11% of homes passed for fibre at mid-2012, it accounts for the largest number of FTTH/B projects, most of which are small scale ones – covering only a local territory. Their involvement will probably increase in other countries such as Italy and France.
The other category of player worth mentioning is incumbent carriers which account for 37% of FTTH/B homes passed in Europe. Virtually all of Europe's incumbent carriers are either now involved in FTTH/B rollouts, are gearing up to it or are in the planning stages. The increase in the part of incumbents in the number of homes passed is partly due to the involvement of Spanish Telefonica. Even those who originally opted for an FTTN+VDSL solution, such as KPN, Swisscom and Deutsche Telecom, are turning their attention to FTTH – in many cases as a result of the growing competitive pressure created by cable companies' and local authorities' fibre initiatives.
In the UK, BT has changed its FTTH strategy several times. After having announced in 2011 a very ambitious objective in terms of FTTH coverage (2.5 million HP at end 2012), it finally turned back afterwards and decided to expand FTTN to FTTH only "on demand". This solution will be available in Spring 2013, after a two-phases pilot.
There has been a noticeable change in the list of leading countries during first half 2012: France is now ahead from Sweden. Indeed, excluding Russia and Ukraine, which lead the FTTH/B market in terms of subscribers and homes/buildings passed thanks to their demographic make-up (respectively 5.2 and 1 million FTTH/B subscribers), France now counts more than 764,000 FTTH/B subscribers (+15% between December 2011 and June 2012) when Sweden stand at 688,000 subscribers (+6% in the same period). The Swedish market is beginning to show signs of large maturity and the potential for further growth is less and less important from one semester to another in the country.
However, Scandinavian countries, and notably Sweden and Norway, still lead the way in Europe in terms of penetration rate – with 40.3% and 67.1%, respectively. Nevertheless it is now in Eastern Europe where we found also high penetration rates: Czech Republic with 45.3%, Hungary with 37.4%, Russia with 33.3% and Lithuania with 29.5%.But the situation across Europe as a whole is still quite disparate as countries like Italy or France are still reporting low penetration rates (12.7% and 12.2%, respectively, lower than the EU-35 average which reaches 18.6%).
Regarding the technology deployed, Ethernet is still players' first choice across the EU-39, and represented 78% of all FTTH/B rollouts at mid-2012.
As concerns network architecture, FTTB still accounted for 62% of rollouts at mid-2012. Players are favouring an FTTB configuration as it allows them to avoid the issues that come with installing fibre on private property, and especially MDUs – i.e. having to negotiate with each property owner.
[1] The term EU-35 refers to the EU-27 countries –Cyprus + Andorra, Croatia, Iceland, Israel, Macedonia, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland and Turkey.
The EU-39 refers to the EU-35 + the four CIS Countries: Belarus, Kazakhstan, Ukraine and Russia.
[2] The FTTH Global Ranking is based on the FTTH Council's definition of FTTH/B. It includes both Fiber to the Home (FTTH), and Fiber to the Building (FTTB). The Ranking covers all countries with at least 200,000 households where the penetration of FTTH/B has reached 1% of the total number of homes.
- Primary research based on 150+ FTTx market players
- In-depth analysis of technological issues based on one-to-one interviews with vendors
- Penetration and subscription data for 70 countries
- Rollout and market share data on 150+ FTTx players, classified by country
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