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Indonesia Information Technology Report

Business Monitor International, March 2012, Pages: 73

Business Monitor International's Indonesia Information Technology Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, information technology associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Indonesia's information technology industry.

BMI VIEW

Indonesian IT spending is expected to reach US$5.9bn in 2012, up 11.1%, with IT investment remaining buoyant in line with the general economy as inflation moderates. BMI expects the Indonesian market to be one of the region's fastest-growing IT markets over our five-year forecast period. PC
penetration remains at around 6%, giving this huge market unrivalled long-term growth potential. Rising computer penetration and growing affordability should ensure that the market remains firmly in positive growth territory.

HEADLINE EXPENDITURE PROJECTIONS

Computer hardware sales:

US$3.8bn in 2011 to US$4.3bn in 2012, +11.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms downwardly revised due to macroeconomic factors and analyst modification.

Software sales:

US$594mn in 2011 to US$690mn in 2012, +16% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms downwardly revised due to analyst modification and progress will depend on the success in bringing down illegal software use.

IT services sales:

US$873mn in 2011 to US$993mn in 2012, +14.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms upwardly revised due to macroeconomic factors but vendors will be attracted by the growing cloud services opportunity, which could be worth around US$100mn by 2016.
Risk/Reward Ratings: Indonesia's score was 39.1 out of 100.0. Indonesia ranked third from bottom of the Asia region in our latest RRR table, behind ASEAN peers the Philippines, India and Thailand, and ahead Vietnam Sri Lanka.

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

- With ICT penetration of only 20% and development restricted to richer areas such as Java, the market has much growth potential. However, Indonesia's uneven development and digital divide are major barriers to faster growth within this potentially huge IT market.

- Spending in some key IT verticals, such as financial services and banking should continue to be significant in 2012 as Bank Indonesia turns dovish. Government infrastructure investments should also provide a boost to the business sector. Government IT spending is expected to increase and could have accounted for as much as 25% of the IT market in 2011, with reports that the government was encouraging state companies to use more IT services.

- An active approach by the government to encourage IT development, led by the National ICT Council, should stimulate spending through a series of infrastructure and education initiatives. Around 30-35mn Indonesian companies are estimated to lack any IT-based solutions and enterprise resource planning (ERP) and other e-business applications will find increasing popularity in the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) market.

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Indonesia IT SWOT
Indonesia Telecoms SWOT
Indonesia Political SWOT
Indonesia Economic SWOT
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT

Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Asia IT Risk/Reward Ratings Q212

IT Markets Overview
Indonesia Market Overview
Government Authority
Table: Key Ministers And Departments
Hardware
Software
Services
Special Focus: Banks
Industry Developments
Industry Forecast
Table: Indonesia's IT Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (US$mn Unless Otherwise Stated)
Industry Forecast Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data And Forecasts,2009-2016
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Indonesia – Economic Activity

Competitive Landscape
Hardware
Software
IT Services
Internet Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles
IBM
Hewlett-Packard
Sigma (telkomsigma)
Oracle Corp

Country Snapshot: Indonesia Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2000-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 (IDR)

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Transport Industry
Sources

- IBM
- Hewlett-Packard
- Sigma (telkomsigma)
- Oracle Corp

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