Kazakhstan Food and Drink Report Q2 2012
Business Monitor International, February 2012, Pages: 84
Business Monitor International's Kazakhstan Food and Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, food and drink associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Kazakhstan's food and drink industry.
BMI continue to view Kazakhstan as one of the most promising emerging markets in the longer term. This view is supported by favourable economic outlook for the country, despite the current slowdown in its GDP growth on account of worsening external conditions. Changing consumption patterns and the increasing demand for convenience foods will represent some of the major drivers of the food and beverages market, supported by new product launches and concerted marketing campaigns.
Headline Industry Data (local currency, compound annual growth rate)
- 2012 per capita food consumption: +9.3%; forecast to 2016: +10.7%
- 2012 alcoholic drink value sales: +10.7%; forecast to 2016: +12.1% ?? 2012 soft drink value sales: +11.7%; forecast to 2016: +12.8%
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Kazakhstan’s Wheat Exports Continue to Post Strong Performance: Kazakhstan’s state-owned rail firm Kazakhstan Temir Zholy reported plans to transport 1mn tonnes of grain harvest for export in the month of December 2011. The firm’s grain exports were expected to increase by 147% year-on-year (y-o-y) during the three months to December following a rise in shipments to the Caucasus as well as ports on the Black Sea and the Baltic Sea. BMI believe that recent investment from the Kazakh government in the country’s export infrastructure will partially help to increase exports to non-traditional markets. Indeed, given its landlocked position, Kazakhstan faces major logistical problems as it is largely reliant on Russian and Ukrainian ports for its grains exports.
Key Risks To Outlook
Downside Political and Economic Risks: While the recent elections led to the emergence of a limited form of political pluralism, BMI continue to see risks due to President Nursultan Nazarbayev’s dominance and the lack of a nominated successor. On the economic front, BMI have downgraded their 2012 GDP forecasts for Kazakhstan on account of worsening export environment, which will in turn translate into more challenging consumer outlook during the current year. More serious decline in commodity prices than currently forecast could also lead to fewer development projects.
BMI Industry View
SWOT Analysis
Kazakhstan Food Industry SWOT
Kazakhstan Drinks Industry SWOT
Kazakhstan Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
Table: Agricultural Commodity Prices
Table: Core Views Q212
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Economic Activity
Industry Forecast Scenario
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
Canned Food
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Processed Foods
Table: Processed Meat
Table: Processed Fish
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables
Table: Bread Products
Table: Jams & Jellies
Table: Pasta
Dairy
Table: Dairy
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Mass Grocery Retail
Trade
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Regional Expansion For Israeli Frutarom
Wheat Exports To Increase
Hardee’s To Open 12 Restaurants In Kazakhstan
Market Overview
Food Processing
Canned Food
Confectionery
Agriculture
Drink
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Beer Market Attracting Foreign Players
Growing Interest In Hot Drinks And Water
Consolidation To Strengthen Carlsberg’s Presence In The Beer Segment
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Expansion All Around
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players In Kazakhstan’s Food Sector
Table: Key Players In Kazakhstan’s Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Kazakhstan’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Monitor
Food
Ardager Agricultural Financial Corporation
Konfety Karagandy (Karaganda Confectionery Company)
Drink
Efes Karaganda Brewery
Carlsberg
Coca-Cola Içecek
Mass Grocery Retail
Vester
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Rewards
Table: Risks
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing
- Ardager Agricultural Financial Corporation
- Konfety Karagandy (Karaganda Confectionery Company)
- Efes Karaganda Brewery
- Carlsberg
- Coca-Cola Içecek
- Vester
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