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Country Forecast Bahrain Updater Product Image

Country Forecast Bahrain Updater

  • Published: June 2014
  • Region: Bahrain
  • 16 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit

The political scene will face persistent social unrest for at least the first half of the forecast period. Progress in the latest round of reconciliation talks initiated by the reformist crown prince, Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, is expected to be slow, and demonstrations will continue. The Economist Intelligence Unit expects further outbreaks of unrest and low-level violence, although the security forces will prevent mass street protests from disrupting the economy. We expect the position of the ruling Al Khalifa family to remain secure and it will continue to receive support from Gulf Arab allies, notably Saudi Arabia. Sectarian tension between Bahrain's Shia majority and the ruling Sunnis will persist.

Policymaking will remain concentrated in the hands of the government, which is dominated by the ruling family. We expect that the legislature will have little credibility (given the boycott by opposition members of parliament) and that opposition groups will boycott parliamentary elections in October 2014. Political effectiveness will be constrained by rivalries within the ruling family. Should the crown prince re-emerge as a political force, he may reinvigorate the economic READ MORE >

Country Forecast Bahrain Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Bahrain's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
Taxes
Financing
The labour market
Infrastructure

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2014-18: Political stability

Outlook for 2014-18: Election watch

Outlook for 2014-18: International relations

Outlook for 2014-18: Policy trends

Outlook for 2014-18: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Economic growth

Outlook for 2014-18: Inflation

Outlook for 2014-18: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2014-18: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data summary: External debt

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
Abbreviations

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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