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Country Forecast Germany Updater Product Image

Country Forecast Germany Updater

  • Published: August 2014
  • Region: Germany
  • 16 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit

The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the grand coalition comprising the centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) of the chancellor, Angela Merkel, its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), and the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) to last its full four-year term to 2017. Ms Merkel's strong endorsement at the September 2013 general election implies a degree of domestic political stability in the coming years.

The policy agenda will be slightly more left-leaning than under the previous centre-right government, including stricter labour market regulations and more spending on infrastructure. Overall, policy will continue to focus on fiscal consolidation. Concerns about rising utility bills will spur debate on energy policy. We expect the budget surplus to strengthen slightly during 2014-18.

Problems in the euro zone and the crisis in Ukraine will remain the main risk to political, economic and financial stability. As the region's principal creditor, Germany will continue to direct the euro crisis strategy-albeit heavily dependent on assistance from the European Central Bank (ECB)-and, for the time being, the country is prepared to pursue unpopular policies to preserve the union. This could change if economic conditions or political relations deteriorate sharply, however.

Country Forecast Germany Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Germany's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
Taxes
Financing
The labour market
Infrastructure

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2014-18: Political stability

Outlook for 2014-18: Election watch

Outlook for 2014-18: International relations

Outlook for 2014-18: Policy trends

Outlook for 2014-18: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Economic growth

Outlook for 2014-18: Inflation

Outlook for 2014-18: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2014-18: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
Abbreviations

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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