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Country Forecast Germany Updater Product Image

Country Forecast Germany Updater

  • Published: March 2014
  • Region: Germany
  • 16 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit

The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the grand coalition comprising the centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) of the chancellor, Angela Merkel, its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), and the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) to last its full four-year term to 2017.

Ms Merkel's strong endorsement at the September 2013 general election implies a degree of domestic political stability in the coming years. However, the SPD's credibility and electoral prospects are threatened by being the junior coalition partner to a dominant CDU/CSU led by a popular chancellor. A leftist bloc of the SPD, the Greens and the ex-communist Left Party would command a small parliamentary majority, but there is currently little interest among the SPD/Greens for such a coalition. That said, the mere possibility that the parties could team up and replace Ms Merkel-at the next election, or even later in the current constitutional term-with an SPD chancellor backed by the Greens/Left, could slightly weaken political stability over the forecast period.

The policy agenda will be slightly more left-leaning than under the previous centre-right government, including READ MORE >

Country Forecast Germany Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Germany's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
Taxes
Financing
The labour market
Infrastructure

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2014-18: Political stability

Outlook for 2014-18: Election watch

Outlook for 2014-18: International relations

Outlook for 2014-18: Policy trends

Outlook for 2014-18: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Economic growth

Outlook for 2014-18: Inflation

Outlook for 2014-18: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2014-18: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
Abbreviations

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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