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Country Report Libya Product Image

Country Report Libya

  • ID: 2101513
  • January 2015
  • Region: Libya
  • 25 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit

UN-brokered talks between delegates from the internationally recognised government of Abdullah al-Thinni and the rival Islamist National Salvation Government (NSG) of Omar al-Hassi began in Geneva in mid-January, but have so far been hampered by the refusal of key elements within Libya Dawn-an umbrella of Islamist militias that backs the NSG-to attend.

Reports of a ceasefire agreement being reached in Geneva are still premature. Libya Dawn itself is becoming increasingly split over whether to engage in the process, with the apparent support of municipal councils (who have a considerable degree of influence over Libya Dawn militias) for dialogue appearing as a possible way forward. A comprehensive ceasefire has been proposed by those attending talks in Geneva, who as yet mostly include members of the House of Representatives and the Thinni government. However, this has not yet been fully accepted by the Thinni-allied National Army, which insists that it must still battle "terrorist elements" in the east, or by the General National Congress (GNC), the primary political instrument of Libya Dawn.

In a meeting held on January 18th the GNC ignored the ceasefire calls and instead called for a new set of UN-brokered talks to begin, but on its own terms. These terms included relocating the talks to Ghat, in the deep south of Libya, and the recognition of the GNC as the only legitimate political authority in the country as preconditions for talks.

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Country Report Libya

Libya ceasefire mooted
Event
Analysis
Impact on the forecast

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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