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Country Forecast France Updater Product Image

Country Forecast France Updater

  • ID: 2101521
  • April 2015
  • Region: France
  • 17 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit

The president, François Hollande, will remain in office until 2017. Despite this fixed electoral timetable, the president is under continuing political pressure. Nevertheless, he has recovered some ground in the early months of 2015-in part owing to the manner of his response to the Charlie Hebdo terrorist attacks in January-and his shift to a reformist economic policy has also begun to gain some traction, notably with the passage of a modest package of economic reforms in February.

The prospects of Mr Hollande's Parti socialiste (PS) are further clouded by signs of renewed vigour in the main opposition Union pour un mouvement populaire (UMP), following a period of chaotic infighting in the wake of its defeat in the 2012 presidential election. The UMP's resounding victory in local elections held in March 2015 was a significant boost for the party and for its leader, the former president Nicolas Sarkozy, who led the party's campaign and who hopes to be its presidential candidate in 2017.

Given the president's weakness and the pattern of election results in recent decades, the centre right is set to take office again in 2017. The Economist Intelligence Unit's forecast is for the UMP to win the presidency, with a former prime minister, Alain Juppé, as its candidate. However, Mr Sarkozy has strong support within his party. A presidential victory is beyond the reach of the far-right Front national (FN), but we expect it to push the PS into third place and thus progress to the second round of voting, against the UMP.

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Country Forecast France Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: France's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
Taxes
Financing
The labour market
Infrastructure

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2015-19: Political stability

Outlook for 2015-19: Election watch

Outlook for 2015-19: International relations

Outlook for 2015-19: Policy trends

Outlook for 2015-19: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2015-19: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2015-19: Economic growth

Outlook for 2015-19: Inflation

Outlook for 2015-19: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2015-19: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
Abbreviations

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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