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Country Forecast Qatar Updater

  • ID: 2101579
  • Country Profile
  • March 2017
  • Region: Qatar
  • 16 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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The Economist Intelligence Unit expects Qatar to remain stable in 2017-21 under the rule of the youthful emir, Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani. Vocal opposition to the government will remain minimal, even as the government proceeds with gradual fiscal consolidation measures.

Qatar is likely to remain engaged in regional politics throughout the forecast period. As part of building strong ties with Saudi Arabia-its largest neighbour-Qatar will maintain a military presence in Yemen (so long as Saudi Arabia remains involved in the conflict there) and offer diplomatic backing to its Gulf neighbours. Concurrently, as part of its long-standing strategy of maintaining a wide array of sometimes conflicting alliances, Qatar will seek to boost relations with the US and Russia. Qatar will also maintain a broadly neutral stance towards Iran, although it will occasionally rally behind Saudi Arabia in times of heightened Saudi-Iranian tensions.

Despite mounting criticism of Qatar's human rights record, and critical media coverage of foreign worker mistreatment in the emirate, we expect the 2022 football World Cup to go ahead in Qatar. Should the country lose the right to host the tournament, owing to ongoing corruption investigations, this would lead to a slowdown of real GDP growth, although the fiscal balance and inflation outlooks could improve if the government trimmed capital spending.
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Country Forecast Qatar Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Qatar's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
The labour market

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2017-21: Political stability

Outlook for 2017-21: Election watch

Outlook for 2017-21: International relations

Outlook for 2017-21: Policy trends

Outlook for 2017-21: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2017-21: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2017-21: Economic growth

Outlook for 2017-21: Inflation

Outlook for 2017-21: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2017-21: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data summary: External debt

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown