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Country Forecast Sweden Updater Product Image

Country Forecast Sweden Updater

  • Published: September 2014
  • Region: Sweden
  • 17 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit

The four-party centre-right Alliance for Sweden returned to government in September 2010, but fell short of a majority. Given the large lead of the Social Democratic Party (SAP)-led opposition, The Economist Intelligence Unit predicts a change of government after the election on September 14th 2014. Polling trends this year show that support for the smaller centrist government parties could exceed 4%, reducing the margin of the opposition victory.

The far-right Sweden Democrats (SD) may hold the balance of power after the election, but will be shunned by all the main parties in coalition negotiations. As a result, a centre-left minority government is likely. The SAP leader, Stefan Lofven, is set to succeed Fredrik Reinfeldt as prime minister, although the parliamentary strength of a Lofven-led government is uncertain.

The 2014 budget bill contained a variety of stimulus measures, including personal income tax cuts. Banking sector regulation will be tightened further in the coming years, with stricter capital and liquidity rules. New macro-prudential measures will address longer-term, structural risk from high household debt.

Country Forecast Sweden Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Sweden's business environment at a glance
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
Taxes
Financing
The labour market
Infrastructure

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2014-18: Political stability

Outlook for 2014-18: Election watch

Outlook for 2014-18: International relations

Outlook for 2014-18: Policy trends

Outlook for 2014-18: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2014-18: Economic growth

Outlook for 2014-18: Inflation

Outlook for 2014-18: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2014-18: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
Abbreviations

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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