Hong Kong Commerical Banking Report Q2 2012
Business Monitor International, March 2012, Pages: 67
Business Monitor International's Hong Kong Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Hong Kong's commercial banking industry.
Since Q108, BMI have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. BMI do this through their Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures BMI capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of their insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the 'Limits of potential returns' includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the 'Limits of potential returns', the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the 'Risks to realisation of returns' also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI's assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how BMI calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the 'Limits of potential returns' are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the 'Limits of potential returns', it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the 'Risks to the realisation of returns' category, the market elements (ie how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody's Investor Services' ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI's long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
Table: Levels (HKDbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At August 2011
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2011-2015 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
Table: Projected Levels (HKDbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
Hong Kong Commercial Banking SWOT
Hong Kong Political SWOT
Hong Kong Economic SWOT
Iran Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Regional Banking Sector Outlook
Uneven Banking Risk Exposure Across Region
Market Overview – Asia Banking Sector Forecast
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2012
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, 2011f (US$)
Table: Interbank Rates and Bond Yields
Hong Kong Banking Sector Outlook
Banking Faces Increasing Risks From Property, Mainland Exposure
Economic Outlook
Table: Hong Kong – Economic Activity
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Hong Kong's Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Licensed Banks In Hong Kong
Company Profiles
HSBC
Table: Key Statistics For HSBC, 2007-2009 (HKDmn)
Bank of East Asia
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (HKDmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Hang Seng Bank
Table: Key Statistics For Hang Seng Bank, 2008-2010 (HKDmn)
Bank of China (Hong Kong)
Table: Key Statistics For Bank of China (Hong Kong), 2008-2009 (HKDmn)
Bank of Communications Co, Ltd
China Construction Bank (Asia) Corporation Limited (CCB Asia)
Table: Key Statistics For Bank Melli Iran, 2006-2008 (IRR)
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- HSBC
- Bank of East Asia
- Hang Seng Bank
- Bank of China (Hong Kong)
- Bank of Communications Co, Ltd
- China Construction Bank (Asia) Corporation Limited (CCB Asia)
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