Country Forecast Turkey Updater

  • ID: 2105426
  • August 2016
  • Region: Turkey
  • 18 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the attempted coup by parts of the military on July 15th 2016 to have long-lasting implications for Turkey's domestic political outlook, as well as potentially destabilising effects on foreign relations-especially with the US and the EU-and the economy, in both the short and the medium term. The president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) have introduced a three-month period of emergency rule and are carrying out an extensive purge of personnel in the army, police, judiciary and education system.

We expect Mr Erdogan and the AKP to push ahead with plans to overhaul the constitution to establish an executive presidency. Another general election might be required to complete the transition if the other parties in parliament continue to oppose the proposed change.

Turkey remains vulnerable to terrorist attacks by the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and jihadi extremists affiliated with Islamic State

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Country Forecast Turkey Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Turkey's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
The labour market

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2016-20: Political stability

Outlook for 2016-20: Election watch

Outlook for 2016-20: International relations

Outlook for 2016-20: Policy trends

Outlook for 2016-20: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Economic growth

Outlook for 2016-20: Inflation

Outlook for 2016-20: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2016-20: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data summary: External debt

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data

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