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Country Forecast United States Updater

  • ID: 2105469
  • June 2016
  • Region: United States
  • 17 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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Hillary Clinton, a former secretary of state, will face a celebrity billionaire, Donald Trump, at the presidential election in November. Relative to previous contests, both candidates are very well known and extremely unpopular; the campaigns will be negative. The Economist Intelligence Unit expects Ms Clinton to win and for her Democratic Party to win back a majority in the Senate (the upper house).

Ms Clinton will benefit from favourable demographics, low unemployment and Mr Trump alienating groups of the electorate. The risk of a Trump presidency would rise if the US were subject to a major domestic terrorist attack in the weeks before the election or a sharp economic downturn.

In the remainder of his term the president, Barack Obama, will struggle to make further legislative process, as he faces a hostile Republican majority in both houses of Congress. Instead, he will take "executive action" where possible to change policy in areas where he does not need congressional approval.

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Country Forecast United States Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: United States of America's business environment
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
Taxes
Financing
The labour market
Infrastructure

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2016-20: Political stability

Outlook for 2016-20: Election watch

Outlook for 2016-20: International relations

Outlook for 2016-20: Policy trends

Outlook for 2016-20: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Economic growth

Outlook for 2016-20: Inflation

Outlook for 2016-20: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2016-20: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
Abbreviations

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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