Country Forecast Philippines Updater

  • ID: 2114066
  • September 2015
  • Region: Philippines
  • 17 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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The Economist Intelligence Unit expects that the president, Benigno Aquino, will have difficulty building a broad political consensus for some of the remaining items on his policy agenda, such as establishing a new autonomous region in Mindanao, as attention has already shifted towards preparations for the mid-2016 presidential and legislative elections.

A botched counter-terrorism operation in Mindanao in January 2015 means that political and public support for the Bangsamoro Basic Law (BBL), which sets out the entire legal framework for a new autonomous Muslim region in Mindanao, has waned. This, in turn, makes it unlikely that Mr Aquino's government will manage to pass the BBL by the end of his term.

Despite the corruption allegations plaguing him, the vice-president, Jejomar Binay, will remain more popular than the Liberal Party's presidential candidate, Manuel Roxas. Mr Roxas's prospects will be boosted significantly if he secures Grace Poe, a popular independent senator, as his running mate. However, should Ms Poe decide to strike out and run for president herself, this would risk splitting support within the "Team PNoy" governing coalition, of which both she and Mr Roxas are members-to the benefit of Mr Binay.

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Country Forecast Philippines Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: The Philippines' business environment at a glanc
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
The labour market

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2015-19: Political stability

Outlook for 2015-19: Election watch

Outlook for 2015-19: International relations

Outlook for 2015-19: Policy trends

Outlook for 2015-19: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2015-19: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2015-19: Economic growth

Outlook for 2015-19: Inflation

Outlook for 2015-19: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2015-19: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data summary: External debt

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data

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