Country Forecast Jordan Updater

  • ID: 2114078
  • April 2016
  • Region: Jordan
  • 16 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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The Economist Intelligence Unit expects King Abdullah II to remain in power and to continue to determine the overall pace and extent of political reform. He will allow some space for moderate opposition voices but will not fully satisfy the demands of his opponents. After the next election, which must take place by January 2017, the king is likely to encourage some changes-including greater parliamentary powers-to give the impression of reform.

The fractured Islamic Action Front (the political arm of the old Muslim Brotherhood) will be increasingly sidelined as more moderate Islamist elements coalesce and show willingness to be co-opted into the political process, including participating in elections and featuring in the next parliament.

The king will maintain a pro-Western foreign policy, particularly with the US. The instability in Iraq and Syria, in particular the threat from terrorist attacks and military campaigns by a jihadi group, Islamic State (IS), and international intervention in both countries poses a major security challenge to Jordan, as does the influx of refugees, but Jordan's security forces should be able to withstand the challenge, with external support. Jordan will continue air strikes against IS and participate in a regional offensive against rebels in Yemen.

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Country Forecast Jordan Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Jordan's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
The labour market

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2016-20: Political stability

Outlook for 2016-20: Election watch

Outlook for 2016-20: International relations

Outlook for 2016-20: Policy trends

Outlook for 2016-20: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Economic growth

Outlook for 2016-20: Inflation

Outlook for 2016-20: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2016-20: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data summary: External debt

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data

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