Country Forecast Bangladesh Updater

  • ID: 2118682
  • April 2016
  • Region: Bangladesh
  • 16 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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The Awami League (AL) government will continue to dominate parliamentary proceedings until 2019. The failure of the AL and the opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) to resolve their disagreement over the electoral process poses a small and diminishing risk to government stability.

Social unrest will remain a feature of local politics, but The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the security forces to prevent any marked deterioration in law and order. The BNP currently has no presence in parliament, and the party's ongoing use of hartals (mass strikes) to press its demands for electoral reform will ebb and flow prior to the next election in 2019. Aside from hartals organised by the BNP, other factors that could lead to a rise in social unrest include unexpected shortages of food, power or water.

Foreign policy will remain focused on ties with India and China. Relations between the AL and India's ruling Bharatiya Janata Party will improve, but long-standing areas of disagreement, such as disputes over water-sharing, are unlikely to be resolved in 2016-20. Ties with China will improve.

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Country Forecast Bangladesh Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: Bangladesh's business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
The labour market

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2016-20: Political stability

Outlook for 2016-20: Election watch

Outlook for 2016-20: International relations

Outlook for 2016-20: Policy trends

Outlook for 2016-20: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2016-20: Economic growth

Outlook for 2016-20: Inflation

Outlook for 2016-20: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2016-20: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data summary: External debt

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data

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