Australia Telecommunications Report Q2 2012
Business Monitor International, April 2012, Pages: 107
Following the release of 2011 end-of-year results for the three major operators, Singapore Telecommunications’ Optus, Telstra and Vodafone Hutchison Australia (VHA), we are able to provide a more comprehensive analysis of the Australian telecoms market in our Q212 report. The market finished Q411 with 29.612mn subscribers, having gained an estimated 533,000 in Q411 (1.09mn in H211). This shows there is still room for growth in the Australian market, despite it reaching 131% penetration.
Telstra launched LTE in September 2011, and launched the first LTE-enabled smartphone, the HTC Velocity, on January 24 2012. This has been followed by announcements of other devices coming online in Q112, further consolidating its lead in the nascent Australian LTE market. Optus is due to launch services in April 2012. Political turmoil has blighted the country this quarter, with the resignation of foreign minister Kevin Rudd, who challenged Prime Minister Julia Gillard for leadership.
Despite losing the ballot to Gillard by a wide margin, the move has caused fractions within the party and Gillard saw her popularity fall, which may lead to the possibility of an early election. If this happens to materialise, there could be threats to the continuation of the National Broadband Network (NBN).
The US$35.9bn NBN project will offer highspeed broadband services through fibre-optic cable to 93% of the country's 13mn homes, schools and businesses by 2021. While it is widely supported by both Rudd and Gillard, leader of the opposition Tony Abbott opposes it, and, as a result, there is a risk it would be scrapped.
However, the NBN continues to expand rapidly. An additional eight towns and cities have been included in the rollout and according to NBN Co's quarterly report, 758,100 premises will be able to access the NBN services by January 2013, up by 191,300 premises from the initial plan announced in October 2011. In January 2012, NBN reportedly signed commercial contracts with at least 21 retail service providers for its wholesale fibre network. According to Telecom Asia, domestic internet service providers (ISPs) Primus, iiNet and Internode are the latest firms to sign 12-month agreements.
While no new data are available from the Australian Bureau of Statistics for internet and broadband penetration, we estimate this to have grown to 68.1% and 47.9% at the end of 2011. This is based on June 2011 data. We forecasted up our estimates for broadband penetration following the developments relating to NBN this quarter. We now believe that by 2016 there will be 16.293mn broadband subscribers in the country.
Business Monitor International's Australia Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, telecommunication associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Australia's telecommunications industry.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Australia Mobile SWOT
Australia Wireline SWOT
Australia Political SWOT
Australia Economic SWOT
Australia Business Environment SWOT
Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Data Analysis
Table: Australian Broadband Market, Dec 2009-Dec 2011
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Australia: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Legislation And Market Liberalisation
Licensing And Spectrum
Rural Development
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players – Australian Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters
Company Monitor
Alcatel-Lucent's Recent Major Contracts In Asia
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Australia Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2012
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Ratings Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Sources
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