Argentina Commercial Banking Report Q2 2012
Business Monitor International, May 2012, Pages: 64
Business Monitor International's Argentina Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Argentina's commercial banking industry.
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Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the 'Limits of potential returns' includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the 'Limits of potential returns', the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the 'Risks to realisation of returns' also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI's assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the 'Limits of potential returns' are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the 'Limits of potential returns', it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country.
Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the 'Risks to the realisation of returns' category, the market elements (i.e. how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody's Investor Services' ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI's long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
Table: Levels (ARSbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At January 2012
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2016 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
Table: Projected Levels (ARSbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
Argentina Commercial Banking SWOT
Argentina Republic Political SWOT
Argentina Republic Economic SWOT
Argentina Republic Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Latin America Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Latin America Banking Sector Outlook
Few Threats To Banking Sector From Eurozone Woes
Table: Commercial Banking Sector – Asset & Loan Growth,2008-2013
Regional Banking Sector Outlook
Latin America Banking Sector Forecast Overview
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios 2011
Table: Latin America Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments in 2012
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits (2011)
Table: Interbank Rates and Bond Yields
Argentina Banking Sector Outlook
Macroeconomic And Political Risks Still Key
Economic Outlook
Table: Argentina – Economic Activity
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Argentina's Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Banks Ranked By ABA
Company Profiles
Banco de la Nación Argentina
Table: Key Statistics For BNA, 2009-2010 (ARSmn)
BBVA Banco Francés
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2006-July 2011
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (ARSmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2006-2010 (%)
Banco Provincia
Table: Key Statistics For Banco Provincia, 2009-2010 (ARSmn)
Banco Galicia
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2006-July 2011
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (ARSmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2006-2010 (%)
Banco Macro
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2006-July 2011
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (ARSmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2006-2010 (%)
HSBC Bank Argentina
Table: Key Statistics For HSBC Bank Argentina, 2009-2010 (ARSmn)
Banco Credicoop
Table: Key Statistics For Banco Credicoop, 2008-2010 (ARSmn)
Banco Santander Rio
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2006-July 2011
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (ARSmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet, 2006-2010 (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios, 2006-2010 (%)
Banco de la Ciudad de Buenos Aires
Table: Key Statistics For Banco Ciudad, 2008-2010 (ARSmn)
Citibank
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Banco de la Nación Argentina
- BBVA Banco Francés
- Banco Provincia
- Banco Galicia
- Banco Macro
- HSBC Bank Argentina
- Banco Credicoop
- Banco Santander Rio
- Banco de la Ciudad de Buenos Aires
- Citibank
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