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Angola Mining Report Q3 2012

Business Monitor International, May 2012, Pages: 45

Angola Mining Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, mining associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Angola's mining industry.

We forecast that Angola's Mining industry will grow by 3.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2012 in real terms.

Growth is expected to remain stable thereafter with diamonds providing the main thrust for production growth over the medium term. However, we note increasing interest in new areas of mining including iron ore and phospahtes. Real growth in mining is forecast to average 3.98% y-o-y during the five years to 2016.

China Driving Industry Diversification Q212 saw further developments in the growing relationship between Angola's mining sector and the country's largest export market, China, with news that the governments of the two countries are analysing ways of strengthening trade links between the two countries. Speaking in Macau, China, Angola's ambassador to China, João Garcia Bires, revealed that both governments were looking at ways to develop the range of minerals and metals exported by Angola to China. According to Macauhub News Agency, this diversification away from diamond exports could see Angolan miners export iron and copper ore as well as other mining products. In return, Angola could be expected to receive assistance with its development programme in the form of machinery and other products.

Endiama Initiates New Phase Of Prospecting In March 2012 Endiama announced it was to initiate a major new prospecting phase in Angola's Moxico province in the east central region of the country. The project would see diamond mining return to the province after a hiatus of several decades and would be assisted by the work of artisanal miners in its initial phase. In the same month, Russian state-owned diamond firm ALROSA announced completion of a preliminary geographic survey in the south eastern region of the country. The survey, which was initiated in May 2011 in partnership with Endiama, is at a 30% stage of completion. A spokesperson for ALROSA said that the survey had revealed a 'very high' likelihood of kimberlite diamond deposits in the region. This view was seconded by Endiama, who indicated the survey was due for completion by the end of 2012, after which prospecting would begin.

Regulatory Environment The long-awaited introduction of a new Angolan mining code finally came to fruition in September 2011 and is expected to prove a positive force in increasing mining activity. The new code compiles existing mining legislation to create an integrated approach to managing the prospecting, exploration and exploitation of mineral resources within the country's borders. Furthermore, the code follows the practice of other African states in recognising the distinction between 'strategic' and 'ordinary' mineral resources.

For more information on the mining code, refer to the Regulatory Developments section of this report.

Key Players Angola's mining industry is dominated by diamond exploration and production. Major reserves of diamonds are located in the provinces of Lunda Norte and Lunda Sul. Local firms dominate the market, with state-owned Endiama the exclusive concessionary of mining rights for diamond-mining in Angola. Sociedade Mineira de Catoca (SMC) operates the Catoca mine, the world's fourth-largest kimberlite facility. SMC is 32.8% owned by state-controlled Endiama, 32.8% by Russian concern ALROSA, 16.4% by Odebrecht and 18% by Israeli company LLI Holding. There is increasing interest from overseas firms, with companies such as Trans Hex Mining, a South Africa-based miner, making entries into the market in recent years. The company has a stake in the Luana, Luarica and Fucauma mines.

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Angola Business Environment SWOTs

Global Mining Outlook
Table: Recent Tax Increases
Table: Largest Coal Projects
Table: Major Frontier Mining Projects

Regional Mining Outlook
Table: Recent Government Intervention

Industry Trend Analysis
Table: Angola's Mining Industry

Industry Forecasts
Diamonds: Infrastructure To Boost Production
Table: Angola's Diamond Mining Output

Regulatory Structure

Business Environment
Table: African Government Mining Plans
Table: Mining Business Environment Risk/Reward Ratings

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles
Endiama
Trans Hex Mining
Sociedade Mineira de Catoca

Commodities Forecasts
Copper
Aluminium
Lead
Nickel
Tin
Zinc
Gold

Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Table: Mining Business Environment Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Components

- Endiama
- Trans Hex Mining
- Sociedade Mineira de Catoca

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