Uganda Defence and Security Report Q2 2012

  • ID: 2142750
  • May 2012
  • Region: Uganda
  • 66 Pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Business Monitor International's Uganda Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Uganda's defence and security industry.

Uganda’s defence expenditure is estimated to have risen 19.74% y-o-y in 2010, accounting for 12.9% of government spending. BMI expects growth in the region of 2.33% in 2011, reflecting Uganda’s military commitments and economic growth. Nevertheless, as a proportion of GDP, Uganda’s expenditure remains below that of other countries in the region. In the long term, we expect to see the country make strong economic gains, despite its vulnerability to political insecurity in the surrounding countries. The expected onset of oil production in Uganda in the second half of this decade will likely swell national coffers.

Uganda faces several internal security challenges including the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA), the ADF and terrorist threats from Somalia’s al-Shabaab militia, which is affiliated with al-Qaeda. This latter threat is exacerbated READ MORE >

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Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Uganda Political SWOT
Uganda Economic SWOT
Uganda Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
Major Risks Looming In 2012-2013
Global Flashpoints: Eurozone, Iran, Syria, Afghanistan, Korean Peninsula
Table: Election Timetable, Q212-Q113
Wild Cards To Watch
Security Risk Ratings
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And North Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Foreign Relations
Domestic Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
The Karamojong
The Allied Democratic Forces
The Lord’s Resistance Army
2011 Presidential Election
Political Unrest
Anti-Homosexual Violence
New Threats
External Security Situation
Latest Developments
Côte d’Ivoire
Central African Republic
United States
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
International Deployments
Market Overview
Arms Trade Overview
Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Uganda’s Armed Forces, 2000-2007 (’000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Uganda’s Manpower Available For Military Service, 2009-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Government Expenditure
Table: Uganda’s Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016
Table: Uganda’s Defence Expenditure Scenario – Changing % Of GDP, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
Defence Trade
Table: Uganda’s Defence Imports, 2009-2016 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated)
Debt Relief Initiatives
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Uganda – Economic Activity, 2011-2016
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry

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