Poland Insurance Report Q3 2012
Business Monitor International, June 2012, Pages: 79
The Poland Insurance Report considers the prospects for both life and non-life insurers in that country.
BMI remains of the view that international groups are correct to see Poland as the market in Central and Eastern Europe that is too important to ignore. A positive interpretation of conditions would highlight the strong growth of the non-life segment, improving profitability (thanks in part to vastly fewer claims relating to natural catastrophes than in 2010), as well as the initiatives announced by leading insurers to develop new products, distribution channels and administrative systems. Poland is patently a country in which households and businesses already appreciate the benefits of non-life and life insurance.
A negative interpretation would highlight the low level of development of life insurance by many metrics; the impact on insurers’ earnings of volatile financial markets in 2011. A respectable performance by the insurance sector last year was the result of the strength of the Polish economy (which was remarkable by local standards) and a hike in motor insurance tariffs: the first of these factors may not be sustainable in 2012, while the second was a ‘one-off.’
A key change around the beginning of 2012 was that German multi-national giant Talanx has emerged as the second largest player in Poland’s insurance sector – behind PZU, the former state monopoly. Talanx had long been present in both major segments – but with minor market shares. In December, it reached an agreement with Getin Holding Group to buy Europa Group – one of the largest indigenous players in life insurance (especially) and non-life insurance. Talanx’s partner in this deal is Japan’s Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance, which is seeking growth opportunities outside Japan. In late January, Talanx announced that it would buy WARTA, the composite insurance operation of Belgium’s KBC that is the third largest player in both of the two major segments.
BMI agrees with Talanx that the Polish insurance market represents an attractive opportunity. It is likely that Getin Holding and KBC would concur with this assessment, given that they only sold their respective insurance businesses to Talanx as a result of major corporate restructurings that they were undertaking for reasons that are unrelated to the prospects for the insurance sector. Central to both deals is the concept that bancassurance is an important – and, for all parties involved, profitable – distribution channel.
In the wake of these transactions, we note that the competitive landscape remains fragmented. Further consolidation is, we believe, likely – particularly given the challenges that remain.
Over the last quarter, BMI has made the following changes:
- There is a detailed discussion of the results published in early 2012 by PZU, Vienna Insurance Group, WARTA and others in relation to the performance of their insurance operations in Poland through 2011.
- The discussion takes into account the latest developments with KBC’s divestment of WARTA and Kredyt Bank.
- The analysis takes into account BMI’s latest assessment an economic environment that may deteriorate.
Business Monitor International's Poland Insurance Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, insurance associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Poland's insurance industry.
Executive Summary
Table: Total Premiums, 2009-2016
Key Insights And Key Risks
SWOT Analysis
Poland Insurance SWOT
Poland Political SWOT
Poland Economic SWOT
Poland Business Environment SWOT
Life Sector
Central And Eastern Europe Life Sector Overview
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Life Premiums, 2008-2016 (US$mn)
Poland Life Sector Update
Life Insurance Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Total Life Premiums, 2009-2016
Growth Drivers And Risk Management Projections
Population
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Demographics 2009-2016
Non-Life Sector
Central And Eastern Europe Non-Life Sector Overview
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Non-Life Premiums, 2008-2016 (US$mn)
Poland Non-Life Sector Update
Non-Life Insurance Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Total Non-Life Premiums 2009-2016
Growth Drivers And Risk Management Projections
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Poland GDP By Expenditure, Current Prices Breakdown, 2008-2016
Political Stability Outlook
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
Healthcare
Epidemiology
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Disability-Adjusted Life Years 2009-2016
Motor
Insurance Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Poland’s Insurance Risk/Reward Rating
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
Competitive Landscape
Major Players In Poland’s Insurance Sector
Company Profiles
Local Company Profiles
Europa
PZU
Regional Company Profiles
AEGON
Allianz
Aviva
AXA
BNP Paribas Cardif
ERGO
Achmea
Generali
GRAWE
Groupama
HDI-Gerling/Talanx
ING
KBC Group
MetLife ALICO
Prudential Financial
QBE
RSA
UNIQA
Vienna Insurance Group
Zurich
BMI Methodology
Insurance Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Insurance Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Europa
- PZU
- AEGON
- Allianz
- Aviva
- AXA
- BNP Paribas Cardif
- ERGO
- Achmea
- Generali
- GRAWE
- Groupama
- HDIGerling/Talanx
- ING
- KBC Group
- MetLife ALICO
- Prudential Financial
- QBE
- RSA
- UNIQA
- Vienna Insurance Group
- Zurich
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