Egypt Agribusiness Report Q4 2012
Business Monitor International, September 2012, Pages: 101
The Egypt Agribusiness service provides proprietary medium term price forecasts for key commodities, including corn, wheat, rice, sugar, cocoa, coffee, soy and milk; in addition to newly-researched competitive intelligence on leading agribusiness producers, traders and suppliers; in-depth analysis of latest industry developments; and essential industry context on Egypt's agribusiness service.
Executive Summary BMI View: We believe improved domestic grains output will help to mitigate the recent hike in grain prices on the global market. Egypt is expected to import slightly less grains in 2012/13 than in previous years, which is likely to keep food price inflation in check. We have revised down our forecasts for cotton production, as farmers have planted less of the soft on the back of low global prices. The textile industry is showing signs of recovery, but ongoing social unrest in the sector could result in further production disruption in the coming months.
Executive Summary 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Egypt Agricultural SWOT 7
Egypt Business Environment SWOT 8
Supply & Demand Analysis 9
Egypt Rice Outlook 9
Table: Egypt Rice Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 9
Table: Egypt Rice Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 11
Egypt Sugar Outlook 12
Table: Egypt Sugar Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 12
Table: Egypt Sugar Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 14
Egypt Dairy Outlook 15
Table: Egypt Milk Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 16
Table: Egypt Butter Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 16
Table: Egypt Cheese Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 16
Table: Egypt Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 16
Table: Egypt Milk Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 19
Table: Egypt Butter Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 19
Table: Egypt Cheese Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 19
Table: Egypt Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 20
Egypt Grains Outlook 21
Table: Egypt Wheat Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 22
Table: Egypt Corn Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 22
Table: Egypt Wheat Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 25
Table: Egypt Corn Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 26
Egypt Cotton Outlook 27
Table: Egypt Cotton Production & Consumption, 2012-2016 27
Table: Egypt Cotton Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 29
Egypt Livestock Outlook 30
Table: Egypt Poultry Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 31
Table: Egypt Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 31
Table: Egypt Poultry Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 34
Table: Egypt Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 34
Commodity Price Analysis 35
Monthly Grains Update 35
Select Commodities: Performance & BMI Forecasts 43
Monthly Softs Update 44
Select Commodities: Performance & BMI Forecasts 52
Upstream Analysis 53
Africa GM Seeds Outlook 53
Table: Select Countries – Global Rank By Corn Yields In 2011/12 54
EMEA Machinery Outlook 58
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 61
Downstream Analysis 65
Food 65
Egypt Agribusiness Report Q4 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd
Page 4
Food Consumption 65
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 65
Confectionery 66
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 67
Canned Food 69
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 70
Prepared Food 71
Table: Meat, 2009-2016 71
Table: Fish, 2009-2016 72
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables, 2009-2016 74
Table: Jams & Jellies , 2009-2016 75
Pasta 76
Table: Pasta, 2009-2016 76
Oils & Fats 77
Table: Oils & Fats, 2009-2016 77
Drink 79
Alcoholic Drinks 79
Table: Alcohol Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 80
Soft Drinks 84
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 85
Hot Drinks 90
Table: Tea & Coffee Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 91
Mass Grocery Retail 92
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format, % 92
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 93
Country Snapshot 94
Table: Egypt’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 95
Table: Egypt’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 96
Table: Egypt’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 97
Table: Egypt’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 97
Our Forecast Modelling
98
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 98
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