Travel and Tourism in Egypt, Key Trends and Opportunities to 2016
- Published: March 2012
The Egypt Tourism Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, tourism associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Egypt's tourism industry.
The Egypt Tourism Report looks at the prospects for the tourism sector through to 2016, while considering important issues facing the sector in the short term. Assuming outbreaks of large-scale unrest gradually decrease in frequency, after the political unrest that rocked Egypt last year, a strong recovery in the sector is anticipated in 2012, partly due to the impact of the low base effects following the collapse of tourism in 2011.
The report analyses the major source markets, which are predominantly European, highlighting the risks associated with an economic downturn in the eurozone. However, tourism from the Middle East has been more resilient, as reflected in hospitality sector data.
In 2011, foreign tourist arrivals fell by almost exactly a third compared with 2010. The damaging effects on foreign tourism resulting from resurgent political unrest at the end of 2011 were evident in data for December, with total arrivals
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SWOT Analysis 6
Egypt Tourism SWOT 6
Egypt Political SWOT 7
Egypt Economic SWOT 8
Egypt Business Environment SWOT 9
Industry Forecast Scenario 10
Arrivals 11
Table: Arrivals, 2009-2016 12
Accommodation 14
Table: Hotels Data, 2009-2016 (‘000, unless otherwise stated) 14
Expenditure 15
Table: Tourism Expenditure And Economic Impact, 2009-2016 15
Inbound Tourism 16
Table: Inbound Tourism, 2009-2016 17
Outbound Tourism 18
Table: Outbound Tourism, 2009-2016 18
Market Overview – Travel 20
Airports 20
Commercial Airlines 21
Table: Key Commercial Airlines In Egypt 21
Global Oil Products Price Outlook 23
Table: Oil Price Forecasts (US$/bbl) 24
Market Overview – Hospitality 31
Accommodation Developments 32
Tourism Infrastructure 34
Regional Case Study: Accor 35
Table: Accor Hotel Business In Selected Middle East And Africa Countries, December 2011 36
Business Environment Outlook 37
Table: Middle East And Africa Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings 37
BMI’s Security Ratings 37
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings 38
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 39
Egypt’s Security Risk Ratings 39
Middle East And Africa Security Overview 41
The Middle East In A Global Context 41
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security 41
Regional Power Dynamics 52
Nuclear Proliferation 54
External Powers 55
Scenarios For The Middle East 56
Global Assumptions 58
Table: Global Assumptions, 2011-2016 58
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, % change y-o-y 59
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2010-2013 59
Table: Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2010-2013 60
Developed States 60
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecast, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y) 61
Emerging Markets 61
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecast, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y) 62
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2012-2013 (%) 63
Company Profiles 64
EgyptAir 64
Egyptian General Company For Tourism And Hotels (EGOTH) 66
Travco 67
Demographic Outlook 68
Table: Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 69
Table: Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 70
Table: Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 71
Table: Rural/Urban Population Spliy, 1990-2020 71
BMI Methodology 72
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 72
Tourism Industry 72
Tourism Ratings – Methodology 73
Table: Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Components 75
Sources 75
| Format | Properties | |
|---|---|---|
| Electronic (PDF) | The report will be emailed to you. The report is sent in PDF format. | This is a single user license, allowing one specific user access to the product. |