Vietnam Freight Transport Report Q4 2012
Business Monitor International, September 2012, Pages: 49
The Vietnam Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, freight transportation associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Vietnam's freight transportation industry.
Vietnam's main export partners, the US, China and Japan, are all set to suffer slowdowns during 2012, but the bleak global economic climate will not prove to be such a great obstacle for Vietnam as its freight transport industry appears to be heading towards a period of sustained healthy growth. Although BMI has downgraded its real GDP growth forecast from 5.8% to 5.2% for 2012, Vietnam's freight industry appears to be bucking the negative trend, with the shipping sector leading the way, followed by road, air and rail respectively.
In the shipping sector, Cai Mep International Terminal (CMIT) achieved a cargo-handling record for Vietnam, having handled 2,100 containers in 11.5 hours for Danish ocean carrier Maersk Line, underling the positives surrounding this sector over the mid term. Aside from this, CMIT witnessed strong growth as of early July 2012, and is expected to handle almost 600,000 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) by the end of the year, or 50% of the total passing through the port, according to Transport Weekly.
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Vietnam Freight Transport SWOT 7
Vietnam Political SWOT 8
Vietnam Economic SWOT 9
Vietnam Business Environment SWOT 10
Industry Trends And Developments 11
Maritime 11
Multimodal 14
Air 14
Market Overview 16
Industry Forecast 20
Macroeconomic Outlook 20
Road Freight 20
Table: Road Freight, 2009-2016 20
Rail Freight 21
Table: Rail Freight, 2009-2016 21
Air Freight 21
Table: Air Freight, 2009-2016 21
Maritime And Inland Waterways 22
Table: Maritime Freight, 2009-2016 22
Table: Inland Waterway Freight, 2009-2016 22
Trade 23
Table: Trade Overview, 2009-2016 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 23
Table: Main Import Partners, 2002-2009 (US$mn) 24
Table: Main Export Partners, 2002-2009 (US$mn) 24
Global Oil Products Price Outlook 25
Table: BMI Oil Price Forecasts, 2011-2016 25
Political Outlook 32
Domestic Politics 32
Long-Term Political Outlook 33
Macroeconomic Outlook 36
Table: Vietnam – Economic Activity, 2011-2016 38
Company Profiles 39
Vietnam Airlines Cargo 39
Vinatrans 41
Vietnam Demographic Data 43
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 44
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 45
Table: Vietnam's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 46
Table: Vietnam's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 46
BMI Methodology 47
Vietnam Freight Transport Report Q4 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd
Page 4
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 47
Transport Industry 47
Sources 48
Vietnam Airlines Cargo , Vinatrans ,
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