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India Infrastructure Report Q3 2012

Business Monitor International, June 2012, Pages: 150

The India Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, infrastructure associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on India's infrastructure industry.

BMI View: We remain convinced that the construction sector's fortunes will improve in FY2012/13 as monetary conditions are already becoming conducive for construction. As such, we are maintaining our real growth forecasts for the construction sector at 7.2% in FY2012/13. However, the lack of willingness to carry out regulatory reforms during the FY2012/13 budget announcement is concerning for the outlook of the 12th Five-Year Plan. Therefore, we have revised down our medium-term construction forecasts, with real growth for the sector averaging 7.8% (previously 8.1%) per annum between FY2013/14- FY2016/17.

Key drivers affecting growth include:
- In February 2012, India's Ministry of Shipping announced plans to carry out more than 22 new projects during 2012, reports PTI, citing a statement by shipping minister G K Vasan on February 20 2012. The projects will involve an investment of more than INR160bn (US$3.21bn), with five or six due to have been completed by end-March 2012. The ministry is also discussing Land Use Policy and Coastal Shipping, which is undergoing an interministerial consultation and is expected to be placed before the cabinet. Once the consultation is finished, the policy will be cleared, according to Vasan.

- In March 2012, the Indian government had launched an INR200bn (US$4bn) tender for 15 road infrastructure projects under a design, build, operate, finance and transfer (DBOFT) basis. 10 of the projects will involve the widening of roads to four-lane highways, whilst a further three will see roads widened to six-lane highways. They will encompass highways totaling approximately 2,000km. More than 60 companies are expected to bid for the projects and the National Highways Authority of India will announced the winning bidders during the fiscal year 2012/13.

- In April 2012, Chinese state-owned construction company Power Construction Corporation of China (PowerCorp) has been awarded a US$2.4bn contract to construct the second phase of a 3840MW coal-fired power plant in the state of Tamil Nadu. The contract was awarded by Indian infrastructure developer Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services Limited (IL&FS) under an EPC - Engineering Procurement and Construction - framework. PowerCorp is expected to install four 660MW generators at the project site. The first phase of the power plant, 1200MW, is expected to be completed in June 2013. The contract win marks the first time for a number of years that a Chinese company is providing EPC services to a major power plant project in India.

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT Analysis 6

India Infrastructure Industry SWOT 6

Market Overview 7

Competitive Landscape 7

Building Materials 12

Global 12

Asia 15

Cement Forecast 20
Table: India Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016 20
Table: India Cement Production and Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 20

Industry Forecast Scenario 22
Table: India Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2017 22
Table: India Construction And Infrastructure Industry Long Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2022 23

Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 25
Table: India FY2012/13 Budget - Central Plan Outlay By Selected Ministries/Departments- 28

Transport Infrastructure 34
Table: India Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2017 34
Table: India Transport Infrastructure Industry Data 36

Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview 38
Table: Competitiveness Of India's Infrastructure 38
Table: Phases Of Development For The Navi Mumbai International Airport 44

Major Projects Table – Transport 47
Table: Major Projects - Transport 47

Energy and Utilities Infrastructure 67
Table: India Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data 67
Table: India Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data 68

Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview 71
Table: Nuclear Power Reactors 78

Major Projects Table – Energy and Utilities 85
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 85

Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 107
Table: India Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data 107
Table: India Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data 107

Residential/Non-residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview 108

Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 111
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructures 111

Risk/Reward Ratings 115

India’s Risk/Reward Ratings 115

Rewards 115

Risks 116

Regional Overview 117

Asia Pacific Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 117
Table: China, India, Indonesia - BMI Interest Rate Views 118
Table: Emerging South East Asia - BMI Interest Rate Views 122
Table: Nearly Developed Asia - Bmi Interest Rate Views 123
Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 125

Company Monitor 126

Gammon India Ltd 126

Reliance Infrastructure 128

Larsen & Toubro 131

Global Overview 136

Methodology 143

Industry Forecasts 143

Construction Industry 144

Data Methodology 144

New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors 144

Construction 146

Capital Investment 146

Construction Sector Employment 147

Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 148
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators 149

Gammon India Ltd, Reliance Infrastructure , Larsen & Toubro ,

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