East Africa Autos Report Q3 2012
- Language: English
- Published: June 2012
The Sudan and South Sudan Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Sudan and South Sudan's automotive industry.
Over the short term, BMI does not expect the situation to improve for new vehicle sales in either Sudan or South Sudan. Following the secession of South Sudan, which is home to the majority of oil fields, and consequently, oil revenue, we believe there will be a return to only tentative GDP growth of 1.1% in Sudan. The hammering out of a definitive agreement with South Sudan on the distribution of oil wealth will be a key factor in establishing economic stability, as will Sudan's attempts to develop its extraction industries as an alternative income to oil. However, increasing tensions between the two threaten the oil sector in both countries and our Oil & Gas team has revised down its combined oil production and export forecasts, which will undoubtedly impact economic growth until a the situation can be resolved.
This poses risks for potential investors in the autos sector. A number of Kenyan
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Executive Summary 5
SWOT Analysis 6
Sudan and South Sudan Political SWOT 6
Sudan and South Sudan Economic SWOT 7
Sudan and South Sudan Business Environment 8
Global Overview 9
Global Autos Update: End Of First Quarter Brings Both Positive And Negative Revisions As Key Trends 9
Table: Passenger Car Sales (Units), Jan-March 2012 9
Regional Market Overview 13
Currency And Security Issues See European Imports Winning Out 13
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 15
South Africa Leads New BMI Ratings 15
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk/Reward Ratings 18
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario 19
Table: Sudan - Economic Activity 21
Economic Activity II 21
Industry Forecast Scenario 24
Table: Sudan Automotives Historical Data & Forecasts 24
Competitive Landscape 27
Market Overview 27
Company Monitor 29
Incentive Programme Fuels GM Regional Expansion 29
BMI Methodology 31
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 31
Sources 32
| Format | Properties | |
|---|---|---|
| Electronic (PDF) | The report will be emailed to you. The report is sent in PDF format. | This is a single user license, allowing one specific user access to the product. |