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Vietnam Infrastructure Report Q3 2012

Business Monitor International, May 2012, Pages: 110

The Vietnam Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, infrastructure associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Vietnam's infrastructure industry.

BMI View: Construction activity continued to contract significantly in Q112, but we remain convinced that a modest recovery is still on the cards for Vietnam's construction industry. The adverse monetary conditions that dampened construction activity in Q112 and throughout 2011 are receding and will continue to do so over the course of 2012; therefore, we have revised down our construction real growth forecast for 2012 to 4.9% (previously 5.4%). We also note that the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone remains a key threat to project financing, given the country's sizeable exposure to European lending.

Major developments include:
- In March 2012, Vietnam announced that it was searching for foreign investors to help construct two international airports: the US$1.2bn Van Don International airport in the northern province of Quang Ninh and the US$10bn Long Thanh International airport in the southern province of Dong Nai. The two airports are part of a strategy to compete with neighbouring airports in Thailand and Singapore, and according to Nguyen Cong Hoan, a director for the Vietnamese airport operator Airports Corporation of Vietnam, foreign investors have expressed an interest in the Van Don airport. However, he did not provide specific details on these investors.

- In the same month, the transport ministry of Vietnam revealed detailed information on a project to expand the National Highway No 1 from Vung Ang in Ha Tinh province to Can Tho, reports Intellasia. The project is scheduled to be conducted under the build-operate-transfer method. The ministry has assigned the transport departments in Quang Binh and Ninh Thuan provinces and the project management boards in the transportation industry to establish 18 investment projects to expand the national highway. The Ha Tinh-Can Tho highway will stretch a total of 1,057km and have an estimated construction cost of VND89trn (US$4.28bn).

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Vietnam Infrastructure SWOT 6

Market Overview 7

Vietnam 7

Competitive Landscape 9
Table: Vietnam EQS Data 9

Building Materials 10

Global 10

Asia 13

Cement Forecasts 18
Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016 18
Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 19

Industry Forecast Scenario 20
Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2009 - 2016 20
Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 21

Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 23

Transport Infrastructure 28
Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data 28
Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data 30

Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview 32
Table: Vietnam Railway Corporation’s Main Targets 34
Table: Competitiveness Of Vietnam's Infrastructure 39

Major Projects Table – Transport 39
Table: Transport – Key Projects 39

Energy And Utilities Infrastructure 52
Table: Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data 52
Table: Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data 54

Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview 56
Table: The Three Levels Of Liberalising Vietnam’s Electricity Market 57

Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities 63
Table: Key Projects – Energy And Utilities 63

Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 74
Table: Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data, 2009 - 2016 74
Table: Residential and Non-residential Building Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 74

Residential/Non-Residential Building Outlook and Overview 75

Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 77

Key Projects– Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 77

Risk/Reward Ratings 80

Vietnam Risk/Reward Ratings 80

Rewards 80

Risks 80

Regional Overview 82

Asia Pacific Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 82
Table: China, India, Indonesia - BMI Interest Rate Views 83
Table: Emerging South East Asia - BMI Interest Rate Views 87
Table: Nearly Developed Asia - Bmi Interest Rate Views 88
Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 90

Company Monitor 91

Cavico Corporation 91

Electricity of Vietnam Group (EVN) 93

Global Overview 96

Methodology 103

Industry Forecasts 103

Construction Industry 104

Data Methodology 104

New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors 104

Construction 106

Capital Investment 107

Construction Sector Employment 107

Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 108
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators 109

Cavico Corporation , Electricity of Vietnam Group (EVN) ,

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