Russia Information Technology Q3 2012
Business Monitor International, August 2012, Pages: 78
The Russia Information Technology Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, information technology associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Russia's information technology industry.
BMI View: Russian IT spending is expected to reach US$23.3bn in 2012, up 21%, with BMI upwardly revising its forecast after the PC market reported double-digit growth in Q112. IT services vendors reported stronger demand from Russian organisations in 2011 as the market bounced back. The broader use of ICT in government and other sectors will ensure an upward market trajectory in the medium term, along with major projects in other key sectors such as banking and oil and gas, and a restructuring of the utilities sector.
Headline Expenditure Projections
- Computer hardware sales: US$10.4bn in 2011 to US$11.9bn in 2012, +14.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms was upwardly revised due to strong sales growth in Q112.
- Software sales: US$3.7bn in 2011 to US$4.7bn in 2012, +27% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms upwardly revised due to analyst modification but will depend on the success in bringing down illegal software use, which at around 87% is one of the world's highest.
- IT Services sales: US$5.2bn in 2011 to US$6.6bn in 2012, +30% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms upwardly revised due to analyst modification with value-added services such as consulting and applications development growing fast.
Risk/Reward Ratings:
Russia's score was 55.1 out of 100.0. Russia ranks fifth in our latest Europe RRR table, jumping ahead of CEE peers Poland and the Czech Republic. The country ranks fifth for its Industry Rewards score, but ranks lowest for Industry Risks at 32.5.
Key Trends & Developments.
- In 2012, the Russian IT market is forecast to grow by around 19%. The government has announced a push to develop a national cloud computing platform, while a modernising financial sector also provided opportunities for IT vendors. There should be continued spending growth in key IT sectors, with new projects in industries ranging from timber to banking and oil and gas.
- Vendors will look to opportunities in the public sector, which has launched a number of egovernment service pilots in areas ranging from universal identity cards to online fee payment.
July 1 2012 has been targeted as a deadline for the introduction of a new unified system that will streamline the provision of government services by linking federal and local agencies. About RUB490mn has been earmarked to expand a possible new open source platform in 2011-2013.
- Many challenges remain, specifically for the IT sector, and further government action is needed in various areas, including the protection of intellectual property rights and the creation of a sound legal framework. The government is taking some action to address these issues, most recently establishing a working committee to look at the e-commerce legal framework, but much remains to be done.
Executive Summary 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Russia IT Sector SWOT 7
Russia Telecoms Sector SWOT 8
Russia Political SWOT 9
Russia Economic SWOT 10
Russia Business Environment SWOT 11
Europe IT Risk/Reward Ratings 12
Table: Europe Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312 14
Europe IT Markets Overview 15
IT Penetration 15
Sectors And Verticals 19
Market Overview 24
Government Authority 24
Table: Russia's IT Market Structure, 2002-2004 (US$bn) 27
Hardware 27
Software 29
Services 32
Industry Developments 34
Table: Russia's Techno park Expenditure, 2006-2010 (US$mn) 35
Industry Forecast 36
Table: Russia IT Industry - 2008-2016, (US$mn unless otherwise stated) 39
Industry Forecast Internet 40
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 40
Competitive Landscape 42
Software And Services 43
Internet Competitive Landscape 46
Table: Svyazinvest Regional Companies - Broadband Subscribers 47
Macroeconomic Forecast 48
Table: Russia - Economic Activity 52
Company Profiles 53
IBS 53
IBM Company Profile 55
Oracle Corp 60
NCC 64
Hewlett-Packard 66
Russia Demographic Outlook 72
Table: Russia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 73
Table: Russia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 74
Table: Russia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 75
Table: Russia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 75
BMI Methodology 76
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 76
Transport Industry 76
Sources 77
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