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Indonesia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2012 - Product Image

Indonesia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2012

  • Published: August 2012
  • Region: Indonesia
  • 117 pages
  • Business Monitor International

The Indonesia Oil and Gas Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, oil and gas associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Indonesia's oil and gas industry.

BMI View: Oil and gas exports form one of the key pillars of the Indonesian economy although the outlook for the sector is becoming increasingly uncertain given dwindling oil reserves in the country’s maturing fields. The government has recently put in place measures to incentivise oil companies to conduct deep-sea exploration in a bid to increase total reserves. Greater domestic consumption leading to higher imports and lesser exports will be a key trend in the years to come.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Indonesia's Oil and Gas sector are:
- We have revised up our 2016 crude oil and gas liquids production forecast from 927,800 barrels per day (b/d) to 954,060b/d due to increased production from ExxonMobil’s Cepu field, which is to reach peak production of 165,000b/d by late 2014. Associated condensate production from Total’s South Mahakam project and Chevron’s READ MORE >

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT Analysis 9

Indonesia Oil and Gas SWOT 9

Global Energy Market Outlook 10

Oil: Getting Closer To Emerging Markets Inflection Point 10
Table: Oil Consumption Forecasts, 2010-2016 (’000b/d) 12
Table: Oil Production Forecasts, 2010-2016 (’000b/d) 14

Regional Energy Market Outlook 18

Frontier Plays & Brownfields Bolster Asia's Upstream Outlook 18
Table: Number Of Rigs in Operation In Asia, 2002-2012 19

Indonesia Energy Market Overview 24
Table: Upstream Projects Database 25

Industry Forecast Scenario 26
Table: Indonesia Oil & Gas – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2009-2016 26
Table: Indonesia Oil & Gas – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 27

Oil and Gas Reserves 28

Oil Supply And Demand 29

Gas Supply and Demand 31

Coal Bed Methane 32

LNG 33

Refining and Oil Products Trade 35

Revenues/Import Costs 36

Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario 36

Oil And Gas Infrastructure 37

Oil Refineries 37
Table: Refineries In Indonesia, 2008-2016 37

Service Stations 39

Oil Terminals/Ports 39

Oil Pipelines 39

LNG Terminals 39
Table: LNG Export Terminals In Indonesia 40

Japanese LNG Supply Deals 43

Gas Pipelines 44

Regional And Country Risk/Reward Ratings 46

O&G Asia Risk/Reward Ratings 46
Table: Asia Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings 49
Table: Asia Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings 50

Indonesia Upstream Rating – Overview 50

Indonesia Upstream Rating – Rewards 50

Indonesia Upstream Rating – Risks 51

Indonesia Downstream Rating – Overview 51

Competitive Landscape 52

Executive Summary 52
Table: Key Players – Indonesian Oil And Gas Sector 53

Overview/State Role 53

Licensing and Regulation 54

Government Policy 54

Licensing Rounds 56
Table: Key Upstream Players 58
Table: Key Downstream Players 58

Company Monitor 59

Chevron Indonesia 63

ExxonMobil Indonesia 66

BP Indonesia 70

CNOOC Indonesia 74

ConocoPhillips Indonesia 77

Total E&P Indonesie 80

Medco Energi 84

Eni Indonesia 87

Salamander Energy 90

CNPC/ PetroChina – Summary 94

Petronas – Summary 94

Marathon Oil – Summary 94

Hess – Summary 94

VICO Indonesia – Summary 95

Inpex – Summary 95

Santos – Summary 96

Badak NGL – Summary 97

Serica Energy – Summary 97

AWE – Summary 97

Premier Oil – Summary 98

Others – Summary 98

Asia – Regional Appendix 100
Table: Oil Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 00
Table: Oil Consumption – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 00
Table: Oil Production – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 01
Table: Oil Production – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 02
Table: Refining Capacity – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 02
Table: Refining Capacity – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 03
Table: Gas Production – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 04
Table: Gas Production – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 04
Table: Gas Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 05
Table: Gas Consumption – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 05
Table: LNG Exports – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 06
Table: Net LNG Exports – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 06

Methodology And Risks To Forecasts 108

Glossary Of Terms 109
Table: Glossary of Terms 09

Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 111

Ratings Overview 11
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings – Structure 12

Indicators 12
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Upstream Ratings – Methodology 12
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings – Methodology 13

BMI Methodology 115

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 15

Energy Industry 15

Cross checks 16

Sources 16

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